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Goldman's Back, and Why We Should Be Worried

by: Robert Reich  |  Robert Reich's Blog

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A group of financial professionals mingle in the Goldman Sachs booth of the New York Stock Exchange. (Photo: Getty Images)

    Should we breath a sigh of relief that Goldman Sachs has posted record earnings as revenue from trading and stock underwriting reached all-time highs (second quarter net income was $3.44 billion) -- less than a year after the firm took $10 billion directly from taxpayers and $13 billion indirectly through AIG?

    In some ways, yes. That Goldman is back signals that the worst of Wall Street's recent meltdown is over. And at least New York City's economy will again benefit from the trickle-down effects of the multi-million dollar bonuses of Goldman's executives and traders.

    But in another respect, Goldman's resurgence should send shivers down the backs of every hardworking American who has lost a large chunk of retirement savings in this economic debacle, as well as the millions who have lost their jobs. Why? Because Goldman's high-risk business model hasn't changed one bit from what it was before the implosion of Wall Street. Goldman is still wagering its capital and fueling giant bets with lots of borrowed money. While its rivals have pared back risks, Goldman has increased them. And its renewed success at this old game will only encourage other big banks to go back into it.

    "Our model really never changed, we've said very consistently that our business model remained the same," Goldman's chief financial officer tells Bloomberg News. Value-at-risk -- a statistical measure of how much the firm's trading operations could lose in a day -- rose to an average of $245 million in the second quarter from $240 million in the first quarter. In the second quarter of 2008, VaR averaged $184 million.

    Meanwhile, Goldman is still depending on $28 billion in outstanding debt issued cheaply with the backing of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Which means you and I are still indirectly funding Goldman's high-risk operations.

    Goldman is skillful at playing the market. Now that most of its major competitors are out of the action or still under the strict control of the Treasury and the Fed, it has the market mostly to itself. Expect the others to jump back in to high-risk deals as soon as they can. But Goldman is also skillful at playing politics -- something its rivals aren't nearly as good at. Recall that last fall, at a closed meeting between Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson (formerly Goldman's CEO), Tim Geithner (then at the New York Fed), and a handful of others to decide on the fate of giant insurer AIG, Goldman's cheif executive, Lloyd Blankfein, was at the table. The decision to bail out AIG resulted in a $13 billion giveaway to Goldman because Goldman was an AIG counterparty. Indeed, Goldman executives and alumni have played crucial roles in guiding the Wall Street bailout from the start.

    So the fact that Goldman has reverted to its old ways in the market suggests it has every reason to believe it can revert to its old ways in politics, should its market strategies backfire once again -- leaving the rest of us once again to pick up the pieces.

  

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Comments

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Goldman is back because one

Goldman is back because one of its members is sitting in the cabinet and no member of Goldman's family is going to let Goldman down! Insider information and favoritism are s probably the some of reasons for Goldman's fast recovery.

For all these companies,

For all these companies, both financial and automotive, we (the American people, as represented by Congress and the President) had the chance to impose not only stringent controls on how they operate, but to actually control what they do. We could have declared them insolvent, broken them up, put people on their Boards of Directors, dismissed top executives and/or cut their compensation and/or responsibilities, or taken any of a wide variety of other actions. We did not do so. Instead, for the most part, we kept as much of the status quo as possible - same people, same business, same practices. We just gave (in some case, created) them taxpayer money. We let them keep the benefits while taking on the risk. We let them continue to convert money into political power as they continued to lobby Congress and buy access and influence. So, shame on us.

Sorry to rain on everybody's

Sorry to rain on everybody's parade but the economy is not coming back for the average American. The big money will always do well, recession or no, because all the money flows up to them. The rest of us will just have to learn to live on much less. The big money will eventually fail because their will be a much smaller middle class to feed them.

Mr. Reich, you are right.

Mr. Reich, you are right. But you soft pedal it. Goldman seems, with only a bit of license and hyperbole, to own the government. Or at least have far far too much sway in how our money is spent and how all that new money is spent as well. Smacks of the Medicis, The German industrialists in the 1930s and probably many other examples you know of better than I. Goldman's stunning profits in the current economy should make everyone smell a rat. a big one. With a money lined rathole. Punch it up a bit. I like your interviews these days.

We presently borrow 47 cents

We presently borrow 47 cents of every dollar that the Federal Government spends. Wall Street OWNS our Congress, otherwise known as our Ruling Class. Other than Ron Paul, I can think of no politician recently who has even spoken against them, let alone voted against them. Wall Street and AIPAC own everyone, by creating literally unlimited currency the bankers of NYC, not the heads of corporations or unions are now totally in charge, so we can expect more of the bailouts until the Chinese finally buy our country.

Worry about what..? That WE

Worry about what..? That WE ARE and have been for quite some time now, citizen-consumers of a place owned, controlled and operated on all fronts by Gigantic Global Corporations..?.... Welcome to the C.R.A.P---- The Corporate Run American Place.... A place where 'We The People' are free to work and shop according to the Corporate Rules... A place where the typical Corporate Logic is that WE can pay Less in Taxes so we can pay More for Less Healthcare... You know, typical stuff like that

Some of the worst people I

Some of the worst people I know are heavily invested in Goldman. Corporations need to be reined in ...they are destroying the world and creating a hardened, business suited royalism that is inimical to individual liberty. Nowhere in the constitution does it say Capitalism is Mandated. But most of the founding fathers were Royalist in style if not in ideal. Down with the Corporate Military Industrial Oligarchic Paradigm!

The comments here are spot

The comments here are spot on. We have become a plutocracy and Obama, Geithner and Summers think tinkering will suffice when we really need radical surgery on the economy.

As yourself why it's

As yourself why it's possible to have a "jobless recovery" in the US--or why economists & the PTB feel it's very possible, even likely, for the economy to "recover" (i.e., be successful) when unemployment is relatively high & wages are stagnant. Because what counts is how stocks are doing and how much upper management at GS does, not whether or not the general public is seeing improvements in their personal economies, i.e., a full time job w/reasonable benefits, wages/salaries/SE income that keeps up with cost of living increases, safe neighborhoods, local & national infrastructure (that everyone uses, not just the wealthy) that's in good repair. . .. None of that counts for many economists. Wonder why?

The trouble with Reich is

The trouble with Reich is that he wants it both ways as far as Goldman and misses the forest for the trees; the so called "Big picture"totally elides Reich's tepid and weak-kneed mainstream economic liberalism which remains througly mired in establishment nostrums and fake solutions. On the one hand he applauds the renascence of Goldman as signaling "the end of the Wall St. meltdown" (as if that meltdown were somehow not a good thing) and that somehow the firms successes portends clear skies to the New York economy.Frankly if a vigorous New York economy is congruent with Goldman's profits, perhaps it deserves catastrophe. On the other hand Reich issues cautionary warnings about Goldman's continuing, unrepentant moral rabidity, and the near criminal power it continues to marshall as a malefic agent of a totally corrupt American capitalism. As some of the posters have vaguely intimated at here real forward thinking envisions a world without Goldman, and in fact, without Wall St. Reich's dictums are locked in the moral bankruptcy of the American Democratic party, and a world which believes it can talk sense to the the plutocracy, by reforming it, or mitigating its damages. Robert Reich comes off as hopelessly naïve. The point is to smash the plutocracy, not invent new strategies for its domination. –(Jill Bains)

I've been hearing that the

I've been hearing that the toxic assets are being accounted for outside of other accounting. So the 3.44 billion "profits" aren't the true indicator of how well GS is doing overall. Sounds like denial and/or manipulation to me. A false positive. I'm guessing it's propaganda to encourage people's confidence in the system.

The criminals at GS are

The criminals at GS are raking it in as usual. Boot OUT every incumbent senator IN THE PRIMARIES.