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Time Running Out for December Climate Pact: UN

by: Alister Doyle  |  Reuters

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The Daintree Rainforest in Cape Tribulation, Australia, is the subject of climate change research. (Photo: Getty Images)

    Bonn, Germany - About 180 nations met for UN climate talks on Monday amid warnings that time was running out for them to reach agreement on a hugely complex pact, due for completion at the end of the year.

    About 2,400 delegates at the Aug. 10-14 negotiations in Bonn will try to shorten a draft text, outlining options for combating global warming, that has swollen to about 200 pages from 50 just a few months ago.

    "Time is running out," Yvo de Boer, head of the U.N. Climate Change Secretariat, told Reuters in a conference hall where a large clock is ticking down the 118 days left until a meeting of environment ministers in Copenhagen in December.

    "The challenge of this session is to narrow (the) text down," he said. "We have an enormous amount of ground to cover."

    The Bonn meeting, the third in Germany this year, was added because of scant progress with the deadline looming. After Bonn, talks before Copenhagen are in Bangkok from September 28-October 9 and in Barcelona, Spain, from November 2-6.

    The 200-page text outlines ideas such as ways to register curbs on greenhouse gas emissions by developing nations, how to help the poor adapt to climate change, ways to protect forests and how to raise billions of dollars in new finance.

    Among the most important issues for Bonn was "how rich countries are going to show leadership to reduce their emissions," de Boer said.

    Leaders of the Group of Eight industrialized nations agreed in Italy last month to cut emissions by 80 percent by 2050 and limit global warming to no more than a two degrees Celsius (3.6 Fahrenheit) rise over pre-industrial times."

    Not on Two Celsius Track

    "We are absolutely not on track" to stay below two degrees Celsius, de Boer said.

    Temperatures have risen by 0.7 Celsius in the past century and the U.N. Climate Panel projects further rises that will spur heatwaves, droughts, floods, and raise world sea levels.

    New Zealand on Monday set a goal of cutting carbon emissions by between 10 and 20 percent by 2020 below 1990 levels, but said the targets hinged on goals by other nations in Copenhagen.

    "It's a long way below the levels of ambition needed," said Kim Carstensen, leader of the WWF environment group's global climate initiative, said of New Zealand's goal.

    Developing nations such as China and India want the rich to cut by at least 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2020. Average cuts outlined so far work out at about 10-14 percent.

    Michael Zammit Cutajar, chairing talks on the 200-page text, said that roughly 30 pages would be a goal for the document's length by the end of the meeting in Bangkok.

    De Boer said that there was still a willingness to reach an agreement despite recession that has made many countries unwilling to do more to cut emissions. "There's still a huge political will to come to an agreement in Copenhagen," he said.

    Developing nations also said it was vital to have more talks on the financing of any deal in Copenhagen. African nations, for instance, say that at least $267 billion a year will be needed by 2020 to help the poor combat climate change.

    With time pressing, Elliot Diringer of the Pew Center on Global Climate Change said Copenhagen would, at best, agree a framework for a deal with many details to be filled in later.

    And he said it was "highly unlikely" that the U.S. Congress would agree on a climate bill by Copenhagen.

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    (Editing by Jon Boyle)

  

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This is no surprise. US

This is no surprise. US climate policy is a sham, and no governments are actually willing to understand that to reach ecological sustainability and to stop climate change we are going to have to intelligently and equitably SHRINK the economy. As long as we worship the god of economic growth, we are doomed. ProsperityForRI.org

Oops! Too late - global

Oops! Too late - global warming has ended. The Al Gore fraud has been exposed. Don't like the weather? Just wait a few minutes and it will change. Climate changes are part of a natural cycle that humans do not cause nor can they prevent.

I am really happy that Greg

I am really happy that Greg Gerritt wants to STOP CLIMATE CHANGE, this will require developing a method to control the eruptions on the Sun's surface, also known as Sun Spots. I just do not want my tax dollars spent doing the research. I suggest that he do a search under Global Cooling, since literally atl scientific data, from polar ice caps to satellite temperatures, collected over the past three years indicate a cooling planet.

Very nice this. The masters

Very nice this. The masters of the universe cannot deal with a systemic threat to life as we know it and can only beat the drum beat that India and China (with low per capita) emissions must cut without offering finance and so that the rich can make a buck off the technology. Pity that the rich country NGOs can't see the poor countries point but then again the thinking has been subprime so what do you expect...

Midwest Tom is confusing a

Midwest Tom is confusing a 3-year trend with the longer term trend that scientists are concerned about. It’s common to have short cooling periods while the longer trend is warming. There is an approximately 11 year cycle of sunspot activity, and we are at the coolest point of that cycle, which probably helps explain why 2006-2008 are cooler than 2005. But there are many other factors, that affect the climate, including human activity. And 2006-8 are still 3 of the 9 hottest years in recorded history! To get a clear picture of the long term trends look at the actual global temperature data here: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2008/Fig1.pdf. The initial period until about 1920 or 1925 was basically stagnant. Then it warmed until the early 1940s. It dipped slightly and then was basically stagnant until around 1980. Since then, the trend has been warming. It’s too early to say whether the long term trend has begun to change in the last 3 years. The temperature dropped even more in 1982, 1984, 1992, and 1998, yet the general trend was rising for the 80s and 90s. The best science says that the overall trend will be rising temperatures for at least several decades, although it could stagnate during some periods. If we decrease emissions quickly enough, it might level off many decades from now, and later drop slowly, taking tens of thousands of years to get back to preindustrial levels. But if too much feedback kicks in first, it will rise even more quickly no matter what we do. Humans do not control the climate, but our actions influence it. We are in a brief window where we can influence the climate to prevent mega disasters. Once that window ends we can do nothing more than try to adapt and survive.