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Why the Dow Is Hitting 10,000 Even When Consumers Can't Buy and Business Cries "Socialism"

by: Robert Reich  |  Robert Reich's Blog

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While The Down Jones rises where is the money going? (Image: Troy Page / t r u t h o u t; Adaptod from Ben Brown / flickr)

    So how can the Dow be flirting with 10,000 when consumers, who make up 70 percent of the economy, have had to cut way back on buying because they have no money? Jobs continue to disappear. One out of six Americans is either unemployed or underemployed. Homes can no longer function as piggy banks because they're worth almost a third less than they were two years ago. And for the first time in more than a decade, Americans are now having to pay down their debts and start to save.

    Even more curious, how can the Dow be so far up when every business and Wall Street executive I come across tells me government is crushing the economy with its huge deficits, and its supposed "takeover" of health care, autos, housing, energy, and finance? Their anguished cries of "socialism" are almost drowning out all their cheering over the surging Dow.

    The explanation is simple. The great consumer retreat from the market is being offset by government's advance into the market. Consumer debt is way down from its peak in 2006; government debt is way up. Consumer spending is down, government spending is up. Why have housing prices stopped falling and new housing starts begun? Because the Fed is keeping mortgage rates low by buying up Fannie and Freddie's paper, and Fannie and Freddie are now just about the only mortgage game in town.

    Why is the health care sector booming? Because the government is about to expand coverage to tens of millions more Americans. Why are auto sales up? Because the cash-for-clunkers program has been subsidizing new car sales. Why is the financial sector surging? Because the Fed is keeping interest rates near zero, and the rest of the government is still guaranteeing any bank too big to fail will be bailed out. Why are federal contractors doing so well? Because the stimulus has kicked in.

    In other words, the Dow is up despite the biggest consumer retreat from the market since the Great Depression because of the very thing so many executives are complaining about, which is government's expansion. And regardless of what you call it - Keynesianism, socialism, or just pragmatism - it's doing wonders for business, especially big business and Wall Street. Consumer spending is falling back to 60 to 65 percent of the economy, as government spending expands to fill the gap.

    The problem is, our newly expanded government isn't doing much for average working Americans, who continue to lose their jobs and whose belts continue to tighten, and who are getting almost nothing out of the rising Dow because they own few if any shares of stock. Despite the happy Dow and notwithstanding the upbeat corporate earnings, most corporations are still shedding workers and slashing payrolls. And the banks still aren't lending to Main Street.

    Trickle-down economics didn't work when the supply-siders were in charge, and it's not working now that -- despite all their cries of "socialism" -- big business and Wall Street are very quietly in charge.

  

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Robert Reich was the nation's 22nd Secretary of Labor and is a professor at the University of California at Berkeley. His latest book, "Supercapitalism," is now available in paperback.

Comments

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May I reword w/no disrespect

May I reword w/no disrespect intended? Consumer spending is down but government spending is up. But the government - er, sorry, our government - is spending our money. So, either way, 'consumer spending' hasn't changed at all - the only change is that now our government is forcing us to spend money we don't have instead of us doing it voluntarily as we've been for the past 30 years or so... What is it called when the government forces you to spend money you don't have again?

Wall Street is making money,

Wall Street is making money, the stock market is booming, and it's all funded by debt. No one is really producing anything of value, just shuffling paper. Eventually no one will be willing to underwrite the debt and the chickens will come home to roost. Maybe all that worthless paper will finally be good for something: lining the hen house.

The global Bankers, the

The global Bankers, the Entrenched Media, the Military Establishments linked around the world, and the International Traders are the problem. The BMMTs are the problem, their profits are sucking the equity from every normal American. Its BMMT vs Humanity war, and the BMMTs have all of the weapons on their side.

There is no question that

There is no question that government is spending. The question is, how are they going to pay for that spending?

Reich misses the point. It

Reich misses the point. It is not that the Dow is up because government is "helping out" Mega Corp. Inc. It is that MegaCorp Inc is PLUNDERING the public treasury. In other words, in addition to plundering each of us as individuals these same predators are plundering all of us collectively Cheney happily called "destroying the beast" -- what he really meant is that he and the forces he represents want to destroy America and they are succeeding. They will continue to succeed until the American people pull their hands out of theiz CheezO bags and do something else with them.

Since when have the cries of

Since when have the cries of socialism from the American conservative movement deserved serious consideration? In the McCarthyist 1950's? Sadly, ideology always dominates sanity, especially it seems these days.

Another thing about

Another thing about "Socialist" tax hikes that nobody ever mentions: They haven't happened. We're still living under Bush's tax policies. In other words, those with Wall Street gains still enjoy the lowest capital gains tax most of us alive have ever known. Where is the punishment for these people?

I understand that Wall

I understand that Wall Street is in charge but I don’t understand why it is quietly in charge, much less very quietly so. I understand that Obama’s hand is forced by a numerous circumstances, but I don’t understand the quiet relative abandonment of victims of this financial Katrina while staggering and unprecedented aid flows to firms most culpable for the chaos. I don’t understand how we are solving the problem of “too big to fail” by encouraging firms “too big to fail” to get bigger.

Almost on point, but not

Almost on point, but not quite. Reich is telling the truth, but he won't go the extra mile because his elite owners won;t let him. The movie Zeitgeist (the first one in the series) explained it all. The governments, bankers, corporations are all in it together. This includes media and military. Debt is part of their game. They win when debt is incurred. They are systematically robbing us to enrich themselves and enslave us. This is not a matter of opinion. They keep some of the peasants on board by handing them the money. For example, right now if you are or were in the military, police forces, weapons building, you are getting huge money. They are giving $78 BILLION to put Iraq invaders through college while cutting funds for our peaceful young people who believe that invading other countries is a sin. Our country is owned and operated by people whose hearts and minds are dominated by lust for money, power and consumerism. Unless there is an immediate, Gandhieque resistance to these people, we will see more than just economic meltdown,..we will see a fascist police state of truly monstrous character and proportion.

To Frank1569, government

To Frank1569, government spending is different from private spending in that it is all borrowing, our futures and our children. It was needed to stop the complete collapse of the country, but now it must be reined in. We must break up these companies that are too big to fail with anti-trust laws and we should make sure they no longer play craps with the economy with better regulations. create small fees for future trading, reinstate the Glass Steagall act separating public banks from speculating banks, and regulate credit default swaps. Of coarse there is the chance that inflation will reduce the value of what we repay, but do not mention that to China.

David...wow, as in Aha! :

David...wow, as in Aha! : "For example, right now if you are or were in the military, police forces, weapons building, you are getting huge money. They are giving $78 BILLION to put Iraq invaders through college while cutting funds for our peaceful young people who believe that invading other countries is a sin." Of course! And they will be the next generation of in-lockstep leaders. The brotherhood, what's is called? Semper Fi?

Dollar falls, stocks rise.

Dollar falls, stocks rise. DJ average of 10,000 today is the same as 7000 ten or twelve years ago.

The Dow is up because the

The Dow is up because the Wall Street mafia has made sure to serve its interests -- at public (i.e. taxpayers') expense. The rest of us can wallow in debt and swallow the losses. Hence the still-rising unemployment rate -- no real consolation (except for statistics wonks) in the datum about a slowing rate of rise. The disconnected dingbats cheering about the end of the recession must own better stocks than I do.

Dear Robert, thank you for

Dear Robert, thank you for nailing it, again. As a return favor I'll answer your mail -- Frank: better, what is it when big business forces government to spend the people's money on big business? drosera: As Alice said, "You're all nothing but a pack of cards." Exactly; but paper embodies ideas which are our only true wealth. Anon 9/23 :06: So? Anon 9/26 :20: Not *how*, but *who* will pay? Chip: Of course, but Reich knows he can't say that without being fired -- It's fun to watch how close he can get though. JLG: As Molly Ivins used to say "You got to dance with them what brung you." MyLeftOne: Where indeed? Chris: Oh, Canada . . . got it in one, again. David: Yep.

What I wish all the posters

What I wish all the posters who blame 'them' would do is look in the mirror and blame themselves. The reason that Government can spend all of our money is because we never fire them for spending too much. 2008 was supposed to be a change election but 85% of the members of Congress who stood for reelection won. SOME CHANGE! If you don't like what is going on, find out who represents you and be sure and vote for his or her opponent next time around. Politicians, like diapers, need to be changed regularly. Often for the same reason. Ours haven't been changed often enough.

Will someone be sure to get

Will someone be sure to get the lights? When dealing with masses it's never about truth, reality or facts. It's always about simplistic emotional promises of miracles and messiahs. The people in power went out of control, now they're frightened and even more out of control again. Nothing to do but try to horde money and hope for ones self and familiy. So it's back to survival of the fittest, we may not realize it yet, but since we were unable to sustain the happy and healthy society we found when we got here. Because we had better things to do, there is now no happy and healthy society to sustain. Fancy that!

In this particular case, the

In this particular case, the media is fully culpable. It continues to report on a daily and often hourly basis the most misleading social indicator of all, the Dow Jones Index, and neglects to report simultaneously on employment, prices of commodities, trade balances (or imbalances as the case may be), war expenditures, and the federal deficit. As a result, the vast majority of Americans are subjected to repeated, redundant cheery numbers that have no personal meaning other than to suggest that someone's getting richer while they are getting poorer. This goes for the supposedly people-oriented outlets like PBS, NPR, and MSNBC as well as the business reports where, too, one might expect greater breadth of information. Just as local news has degraded to "bleed and read" reports of little consequence, so the national media have been pathetic in providing sound and useful economic information to the American people. And even the most rock-rib economic conservative would acknowledge that without good information, the rational man argument for free markets is a joke.

Many people enjoy dividend

Many people enjoy dividend income. A Dow Jones below 7400 put dividend revenues at risk for an important segment of society. Margin calls also added to the pandemonium. Some of the partners at Goldman Sachs faced margin calls on their holdings! Let me tell you, it was an awful time. But not anymore! Thanks.