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Magical Thinking

by: HervĂ© Kempf  |  Le Monde

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Hervé Kempf says the essential question with respect to cars is "how will we go about dividing developed countries' automobile fleet in two?" (Photo: drgonzoisnotaphotographer / flickr)

    Of course, we - enlightened Westerners of the 21st century - have nothing in common with the pathetic tribes that worshiped the cargo ship or attached supernatural powers to the spirits of the forest. No, we're rational, free, aware, hard-core holdouts against the slightest trace of magical thinking. Magical thinking? The idea that, confronted with an inextricable situation, mysterious forces will intervene - if only one knows how to approach them with the appropriate propitiation - and resolve the dilemma.

    Oh, an electric car! It's clean; it's beautiful; it doesn't pollute; it's on its way. And, voilĂ ! We're rid of this diabolical problem of the gasoline engine car that emits all that CO2. Oh, thank you, thank you, Technology; thank you miraculous Power of Research and Development; thank you Engineers and Researchers, priests of the perfected world; thank you selfless Capitalists; thank you Automobile Industry in the service of humanity!

    Is this a caricature? No. In terminal capitalism, technology is a magical thought, designed to shrug off the delicate questions generated by the shape of social relations in this phase of history. For the car, as much as it is a technical object, is also a social usage.

    The central point in the issue of the electric car: Where does the electricity come from? For the most part in the world, from coal combustion.

    To the point that the absence of CO2 emissions from the car is offset by the CO2 emissions from electricity production. And between now and whenever renewable energy sources are at a level adequate to take over, the water will have run under the bridges. Nuclear energy? Magical thinking. Line up the billions of euros and shove nuclear waste and the risk of accidents under the carpet.

    Another point: The manufacture of cars and their components (notably the lithium battery) has a major environmental impact. We need to work on a total assessment of the object from production to final disposal. A so-called "life-cycle" analysis is startlingly absent from the debates.

    The fundamental issue is elsewhere. Agreed, of course, techniques should be improved. But all progress will be canceled out if the entire fleet of cars is allowed to grow. Thus, "The Economist" writes without any apparent concern, "in the next forty years the total number of cars in the world should quadruple to reach 3 billion vehicles." To accept this idea is to guarantee ourselves an aggravation of the environmental crisis in all its worst manifestations.

    We need to leave magical thinking behind, stop believing that technology will slice through the choices that we don't want to make. In fact, the question of the car presents itself thus: How will we go about dividing developed countries' automobile fleet in two?

    How will we, in France, for example, go from 37 million vehicles to 18 million in the next 40 years?

    --------

    Translation: Truthout French language editor Leslie Thatcher.

All republished content that appears on Truthout has been obtained by permission or license.

  

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Comments

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How will we get to halving

How will we get to halving the cars in France or the US in the next forty years? Why, by halving the population in France or the US, of course! I doubt much of anything else is going to work, given our nature.

Kempf is simply ignoring

Kempf is simply ignoring history. The dependence on coal for railroads, power and heating in the early 19th century led to fears of energy shortages, but the advent of oil extraction and distribution resolved that. Technological breakthroughs (in health care and social services as well as energy and industry) aren't panaceas, but they have regularly undone theories of impending doom. That's not to say that this time won't be different, so enlarged conservation is prudent. But the latter doesn't require us to brand the anticipation of new technology as "magical thinking," except in this sense: The late Arthur C. Clarke once famously said that "any sufficiently advanced technology is the functional equivalent of magic" for those who don't understand it.

Lifetime analysis is

Lifetime analysis is essential. When factored in the battery manufacturing and disposal along with other uses make the total footprint of a Prius - orcomprable vehicle is roughly that of a Hummer. This from a seniorToyota engineer. The only value of these cars is one og saving money on gas for the owner and possible less dependance on imported oil. Magical and wishful thinking indeed and making one self feel good - all on a false and unexamined idea. This kind of thinking is a kind of drug and we are addicted to it.The commercial dealers in it know full well what they are doing. I speak as a former advertising professional.

Hello, May I have reprint

Hello, May I have reprint permission for this editorial? Renewable energy and the environment have been major editorial agendas for The Rock River Times for 15 years. Our readers in the heartland of America need more of the European perspective on many issues. Enjoyed the writing. Thank you for your consideration, Frank Schier Editor & Publisher The Rock River Times 128 N. Church St. Rockford, IL 61101 U.S.A frank.schier@rockrivertimes.com

Funny, I've always thought

Funny, I've always thought of the French as healthier and more active than U.S. people. But I haven't actually been there since 1971. Maybe that notion jumped the Pond and landed in the U.S., notably in Portland, which now has a local empire of bakery-bistros run by ex-pat guys from Provence. People walk or bike so as to excuse their consumption of confections, and also because it's hard to park when you get there. In Cambridge, MA, where my son lives, he uses one of those shared-car companies, after his shared ancient Suburu got stolen on the street. Curitiba, Brazil, made famous by Bill McKibben, is the queen of guerilla walkability, but the idea is spreading. Just not enough attention gets paid to it.

It is true that there will

It is true that there will still be problems with electric cars, however because batteries can hold only a fraction of the energy density 0f chemical fuels, battery cars will be more efficient in theirs miles/watt than current cars. Coal fired plants are more efficient that gasoline for charging batteries for that matter. Still coal fired plants create far too much CO2 and must be replaced with wind and other forms of solar and geothermal energy.

At last, someone speaks

At last, someone speaks sensibly in the face of unreasonable wishful thinking. Yes...where are all the voices of reason in the debates over where we are producing all these rabbits from hats? And how? M. Kempf hits the nail right on the head, and makes the case all the more presingly simple: only kids, who don't know anything more about reality than it must somehow be magical, think they can get something for nothing. I guess that just proves how infantile our outlook towards our own future really is, since most of us still believe in magical solutions to real problems... without ever studying the evidence. Even worse, many wish for such magical answers with no evidence to support or suppose they might come true at all.

I applaud the courage it

I applaud the courage it takes to point this out but do you really think anyone out side of a few radical environmentalist are really ready to even acknowledge your statement? Lord knows, there are a significant percentage of the population who don't even believe there is a problem. There is a larger percentage who won't change their lifestyle in the way needed to prevent catastrophe and that doesn't even include the special interests with all their billions. I fear by the time the reality of sinks in it will(may already) be too late.

Many members of the

Many members of the Environment Council of Rhode Island were discussing exactly this dilemma today. Kempf is right on as usual.

David Attenborough is about

David Attenborough is about to give a series of talks with the theme "Human population has trebled since th 1950's" - it can't go on. The point is: the human population WILL be reduced, voluntarily or by its own suicidally induced catastrophe. When? Who knows? Who is going to face the problem of population reduction or even stabilisation and how to achieve it? Is it even a question that may in decency be asked? Who will dare to face accusations of genocidal or eugenic intentions?

Thank you! Someone FINALLY

Thank you! Someone FINALLY said it. We only think about one part of the puzzle at one time and we can't seem to connect the pieces and see that they are all linked. We think about the electric cars but we don't see the increased demand in electricity, the transportation, the metal, plastic, fabric, rubber, wages, buildings, health care, etc, that will be used to make that electric car. We see one piece of the puzzle, the global economy, but we have failed to see and think in a global way. What I do as an American effects the rest of the planet. My selfishness will mean someone else may starve. We need to examine what we do, what can we change about ourselves. Population, resource demands and climate change are NOT going to go way by magic we need to do the hard work.

But electric cars are

But electric cars are inherently more more efficient than internal combustion. You won't stop emissions but there will be considerably less overall from an electric car than a gas car. Which is not perfect, but it would be better than nothing. And the lithium based batteries can be recycled, actually they would have to be because there is not enough lithium on the planet to not recycle them.

The author fails to

The author fails to recognize that electric cars already cause less greenhouse gas emissions per mile than cars that run on fossil fuels, so their reduced emissions are only PARTIALLY offset by electricity generation. Electric cars would be a significant improvement right now. And if all of our electricity came from zero-emission sources like windmills and solar panels, then electric cars, including their manufacture, really would contribute nothing to global warming. So let’s aim for this instead of implying electric cars do not do any good. True, electric cars would not eliminate pollution, but the most urgent problem right now is global warming, not pollution, and fighting global warming would also reduce pollution significantly. I agree with his main points, I just think he chose the wrong example. Too many people rely too much on a magical rescue by science and technology, thinking we can put off dealing with global warming and be rescued by some miracle invention later on. That is very irresponsible at best. But it is also irresponsible to not use the inventions we already have! We could make a huge difference very quickly just by focusing on efficiency and reducing waste. Part of that is using mass transit or bicycles or walking instead of cars, reducing the number of cars and the amount they are used. But don’t knock other good solutions like replacing gas and diesel vehicles with electric vehicles and replacing fossil fuel power plants with green power plants. The problem is so vast and urgent that we need every good solution we can find, including any future inventions that come along. No single solution will be enough, we need many, and the must actually be implemented, not just talked about.

Just Google AIR CAR and tell

Just Google AIR CAR and tell me why we're not using THAT technology.