Truthout Original

The Great Switch: Banks Rob People

by: Jim Crotty, t r u t h o u t | Perspective

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Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson. (Photo: AFP / Getty Images)

    The US government is on the verge of making an unprecedented financial commitment, likely to cost $700 billion, to buy the bad securities held by large US and foreign financial institutions. Having driven our economy to the edge of financial destruction, the Lords of Finance now want the public to put up the money needed to save them and their firms from collapse. Maybe men don't bite dogs, but banks do rob people.

    In response to the collapse of unregulated financial markets in the early 1930s, the American people decided to tightly regulate the financial system so that it could never again threaten the US economy. The Depression-era regulations worked effectively until the late 1970s, helping to create the best economic performance in US history. When our financial system was buffeted by high inflation in the late 1970s, it became necessary to reform the regulatory process so it would be effective in the new economic era. But instead of reform, the rise to power of anti-government, right wing forces - reflected in the election of President Reagan in 1980s - led to a radical deregulation process. By the end of the Clinton presidency, radical deregulation was completed.

    Deregulation - in concert with rapid financial innovation that made complex financial products such as derivatives and mortgage-backed securities possible - created a volatile pattern of financial booms and crises. Each crash led to bailouts by affected governments, which only increased incentives to financial firms to expand further and take greater risks, since there were massive profits to be made in the upturn while the public paid to limit their losses in the downturn. The new era thus saw an explosion in the size and profits of financial firms. Financial assets were less than five times the size of the US gross domestic product (GDP) in 1980, but over ten times as large in 2007. In the US, the share of total corporate profits generated in the financial sector grew from 10 percent in the early 1980s to 40 percent in 2006. As financial markets grew larger and thus more dangerous, the pressure on governments to bail them out increased proportionately.

    The recent boom was driven by the rapid rise in home prices in the decade ending in 2006. The fact that home buyers and mortgage lenders assumed housing prices would never decline sustained the boom, and the fact that banks and mortgage brokers were paid large fees to originate mortgages and large fees to service them generated momentum. Since most of these mortgages were not held by their originators, but rather sold to others, it made sense for banks and brokers to maximize the flow of mortgages, even if that meant selling mortgages that were likely to default if home prices stopped rising or interest rates rose substantially. Investment banks received similar fees to package the mortgages into mortgage-backed securities that were then sold to banks, hedge funds, pension funds and insurance companies around the world. These securities were essentially highly leveraged risky bets that housing prices would keep rising. They were so complicated that no one knew what their price should be. Thus, they could only be sold because credit ratings agencies such as Fitch and Moody's gave them AAA ratings. The agencies provided overly optimistic ratings only because they were paid by investment banks to do so.

    Why did so many large financial institutions borrow so much money to invest in such risky securities? The answer lies in the way their top people are paid. Financial firm "rainmakers" get most of their compensation in the form of bonuses tied to the profits of their enterprise. When markets are booming, profits and bonuses are maximized by borrowing lots of money - investment banks borrowed $32 for every $33 of assets they owned in 2007 - and taking high risks with it. For example, in 2006, Goldman Sachs had a banner profit year and the average bonus for its 25,000 employees was $650,000. But most of this money was paid to those at the top, with key traders taking home $50 million. Everyone knew that such risk-taking would eventually lead to disaster when markets turned down, but they would not have to give back the big bonuses from the boom.

    When housing prices began to fall in 2006, the game was up, though it took another year before the crisis broke out. Once it did, the gravitational pull of reverse leverage accelerated the downfall. Firms that borrowed heavily to buy assets used the value of the assets as collateral for their loans. When asset prices started to fall, so did their collateral value. Their creditors demanded that they put up additional cash, which forced them to sell assets. Of course, this made asset prices fall faster. Soon, financial firms across the globe found the value of their assets and the value of their capital plunging along with the price of their stock. As usual, they rushed to government regulators to save them.

    In the US, the Fed responded to the crisis by extending massive loans to commercial banks, and, for the first time since the Great Depression, to investment banks as well. The Fed exchanged US Treasuries for shaky mortgage-related securities in such large quantities that the proportion of its $800 billion in assets invested in government bonds fell from 91 percent in August 2007 to 52 percent one year later. It later offered to lend money in exchange for any security, even corporate stocks. In addition, the Federal Home Loan Bank increased its loans to banks by almost $300 billion between June 2007 and June 2008, a rise of 43 percent.

    In the Bear Stearns rescue, the Fed in effect bought $29 billion worth of devalued securities from the failing investment bank. The collapse of Fannie May and Freddie Mac, two firms that own or insure almost $5 trillion in mortgages (and made their top executives fabulously rich by investing in shaky mortgage-backed securities in the boom) led to their nationalization; the taxpayer is now liable for their losses, which could hit $100 billion. The US government, which the Lords of Finance told us should stay out of financial markets, now owns the largest financial companies in the world.

    The Fed then effectively nationalized AIG, one of the largest insurance companies and biggest financial speculators in the world, at a cost of $85 billion, even it does not regulate and has no responsibility for, insurance companies. The rout was on.

    Finally, in mid September, when even these unprecedented interventions proved unable to calm financial markets, Fed Chair Ben Bernanke and Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson, former CEO of the top investment bank Goldman Sachs, proposed that the government put up an additional $700 billion of taxpayer money to buy most of the bad assets held by financial corporations. This would be the largest bailout in history. At the same time, the government announced a blanket guarantee of the $3.5 trillion money market mutual fund industry.

    By this time, Paulson (or Goldman?) seemed to be in control of the bailout process. His initial proposal stated that all decision-making power over the dispersal of this enormous amount of money was to be in his own hands. Neither the courts nor other government bodies would be able to exercise oversight of Paulson's handling of the money. Since the proposal said nothing about which securities would be purchased, or what firms would receive payouts, or how the prices of securities would be valued, Paulson (or Goldman?) was actually proposing that the president and Congress simply give him up to $700 billion to distribute to his cronies as he saw fit. As economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman put it: "Mr. Paulson is demanding dictatorial authority, plus immunity from review 'by any court of law or any administrative agency.'"

    Adding insult to injury, Paulson planned to privatize the bailout process. Wall Street firms hired by Paulson would decide how much to value the bad securities the public had to buy from ... Wall Street firms. These firms would, of course, be paid lots of public money to provide this service. Moreover, Paulson and Bernanke tried to panic the Congress into accepting their Trojan Horse by arguing that if Paulson's proposal was not accepted without revision within a few days, global financial markets would collapse. Congress was to be stampeded by fear into rubber-stamping legislation that would complete the process of a virtual government takeover of a huge share of the country's financial system by one man. This was reminiscent of President Bush's successful effort to get Congress to quickly authorize his war in Iraq. There were no penalties for financial firms or their rainmakers in the proposal, and no new regulation to prevent this fiasco from recurring a few years down the road.

    This is, literally, unbelievable. As recently as spring 2007, Paulson argued that excessive regulation was crippling American finance in its battle for global financial supremacy: the government should stay out of financial markets. And Goldman Sachs, along with other large investment banks, played a key role in packaging and selling the mortgage-backed securities that led to the crisis - the same securities they now want to pawn off on the taxpayer. Paulson is a representative and charter member of the Lords of Finance who foisted this corrupt and absurd system of deregulated financial markets on the American public - a system that created financial instability and rising inequality, pressured the public time and again for money to clean up the messes they made, and used their ill-gotten money and power to corrupt the political process. Having done this, the Lords of Finance now want total control of $700 billion in public money to allocate to themselves.

    New York Times liberal columnist Bob Herbert put it nicely. "Does anyone think it's just a little weird to be stampeded into a $700 billion solution by the very same people who brought us the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression?" The American people should revolt against business as usual and rule by the Lords of Finance by inundating Congress with the demand to stop the insanity now.

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    Jim Crotty is a Professor of Economics at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, who specializes in financial markets.

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Comments

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I may be simplistic in my

I may be simplistic in my view but isn't the reason most of the mortgage holders defaulting because they are not making the money they need to keep up with the payments? Why is it the bankers that need the bailout when it is the home owner who is broke? If we put people to work rebuilding our infrastructure, all of it, we could get those homes payed for, prepare our country for the next 50 years and give the American worker a reason to be proud and confident.

George Weimark Bush?

George Weimark Bush?

Actually the Second Trillion

Actually the Second Trillion Dollar payout During the past 7 years thanks to the tax cuts for the rich and the lack of regulation by the government, the 400 wealthiest individuals in the USA saw their net worth increase by more than $670 billion. And now these same wealthy individuals get to keep their ill gotten gains and in addition get bailed out for their losses. This is the biggest transfer of wealth from the poor and the middle class to the rich in history.

Just a reminder to not limit

Just a reminder to not limit your ideas to this comment board. If you do not take the time to write your representatives, you have missed the best chance you have to influence those who will make the final decisions.

People wake up!!stand up and

People wake up!!stand up and stop your spending, three days, we the people bring them to there knees, Stop the Bailout!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

democrats have filibuster

democrats have filibuster options too. they could (have) demand(ed) a fair solution (to homeowners and taxpayers) under threat of filibuster, just as they could have filibustered the war funding with 41 senators (they have that many, don't they.). But they're just as responsible as bush et al for this mess. Trillions on war/pentagon/warrantless surveillance/biofuel/clean coal/plan mexico-Merida Initiative and financial meltdown.

Scenario for October

Scenario for October Surprise: 1. Republicans reject bailout oversight and penalty provisions. 2. Markets collapse, banks fail. 3. Panic, civil unrest ensues. 4. Martial Law declared by Bush. 5. Elections cancelled. 6. October Surprise - Mission Accomplished

If banks compete with each

If banks compete with each other, as most businesses do, then each one that fails makes all the others stronger. If this isn't happening, then the banking system itself has got to go. This is basic economics. I agree with the "I refuse to pay" solution. Get in touch with the IRS employees you know so you're prepared for any fallout.

While it is true that income

While it is true that income tax on wages is illegal and that verdict has been upheld by every supreme court decision, the IRS will still stick a gun in your face, take everything you've got, and throw you in jail. We would need lots of folks to not pay taxes if we go that route. I'm adamantly against bailing out these thieves and liars . "Some people are so dumb they couldn't pour piss from a cowhide boot with complete directions on the heel." Ignorance is expensive to us, but a great benefit to those who fleece us.

same shit different day.

same shit different day. All of our financial pitfalls stem from the creation of a privatize "Federal" reserve. Hate to quote the conspiracy theorist, but check of the last third of the zeitgeist movie. http://www.zeitgeistmovie.com/ you have to watch these kinds of things with a grain of salt, but overall it is well based on historical facts. It gives an excellent rundown of the economic rollercoster we have been on since the inception of the "Federal" reserve.

Bring back Glass-Steagal,

Bring back Glass-Steagal, and get rid of dishonest, wavering politicians who have proven incapable of developing systems in which laws are enforced against white collar criminals. Re-regulation won't work unless we alter the playing field to the extent that no one is above the law.

one word is so needed

one word is so needed shouted at the top of our lungs now in this time of corruption by corporate America..................................... Wolverines! Lets take our country back.

it may all be moot as

it may all be moot as china/Russia may not buy any more treasuries, due to a real fear of never getting paid back then it is depression with no way we can work out of it for years as our industrial base has been gutted by wall St and all the nafta alphabet soup of "free trade deals for the benefit of multinational corporations and the Wall St banksters who run of in their jets

AND THERE'S NOTHING NEW AT

AND THERE'S NOTHING NEW AT ALL ABOUT THIS. The last time the country was in total economic meltdown like this, a great bard, Woodie Guthrie wrote a song called "The Ballad of Bonnie and Clyde". Some will rob you with a six gun. Some with a fountain pen.... As through this world I ramble And through this world I roam I've never seen an outlaw drive a family from its home

The best book on the last

The best book on the last big banking meltdown-- the Savings and LOan debacle on the 1980s- is a book by WIlliam Black, one of the regulators that busting the thieves. This was the origin of the Keating Five scandal that involved Mr. McCain in influence peddling..... the title of the book says it all. "The Best Way to Rob a Bank is to Own One".

and what happened after the

and what happened after the great depression? the greatest war the world has known. to those that bring up history's examples, would this financial crisis fixed in the wrong way bring us into the next world war ?

Your viewpoint is

Your viewpoint is biased. First, you should get your facts right. First, about the depression-era regulation that you say "worked effectively until the late 70s": It was the interventionist policies of the Herbert Hoover administration that amplified and magnified the duration, breadth, and intensity of the Great Depression. If you read M. Rothbard's book, it clearly explains the Austrian theory of the business cycle, which holds that government manipulation of the money supply sets the stage for the familiar "boom-bust" phases of the modern market. You will find in detail the inflationary policies of the Federal Reserve from 1921 to 1929 as evidence that the depression was essentially caused not by speculation, but by government and central bank interference in the market, as is happening right now. You cannot call the current financial situation "unregulated" while the Fed is consistently bailing out failing firms.

I don't know why everyone

I don't know why everyone that is for the bailout feels like getting America back to the business of borrowing money is going to do a lick of good. They ought to lay out 700 Billion dollars in rank and file worker raise and bonus assurance program. They could do a matching program whereby Companies are assured that if they give their employees raises and bonuses for the next ten years, if profits fall so much that the CEOs earn less than a gazillion dollars, the governement will step in and make the blackmailing gazillionaires whole. Imagine an America where growth was centered around consumer saving and hardwork as opposed to consumer borrowing and laziness. Wow. What a novel concept. It's stunning to me how the simple Logic of Henry Ford is lost on everyone. Pay your people enough to buy your stuff or your out of business. It's hilarious watching a bunch of bankers try and blackmail the government into restoring their ability to encourage people to borrow borrow borrow. What the heck is everyone in this country thinking. You can't borrow your way to prosperity.

Why is anyone surprised that

Why is anyone surprised that deregulation has given these CEOs and their cronies a free ticket to pocket gross amounts of money, and are not held responsible. The idiots who implemented and made money off of these "scams", yes that is what they are, should be responsible for the bailout. The rich keep getting richer as our country is controlled by the wealthy, who pass laws to meet their agenda not those of a hardworking American.

I certainly hope that the

I certainly hope that the FBI will properly investigate and convict the parties responsible for this and sentence them to long prison terms. And take the money they gained away from them as well

"Does anyone think it's just

"Does anyone think it's just a little weird to be stampeded into a $700 billion solution by the very same people who brought us the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression?" Yeah, I'm with ya on this one Bob. Kinda freaked out about it too. Wonder how many others have this "weird feeling"?

"Your History" is incredibly

"Your History" is incredibly foolish. This Friedman style economic reasoning has been a total failure. FDR had sense enough to ignore him 80 years ago, and go with Keynesian thinking. It worked brilliantly. Trickle down has never trickled. The Laffer curve has never gotten to the left side of the peak. Stop this stupidity now.

You have to wonder how much

You have to wonder how much of all the money Bush as spent has ended up in the Bush family bank accounts. Until, the American people wake up and act and not sit back and let our government run rough-shot over us nothing will change. It's simple, stop shopping for three days and the will of the people will we done!!!

The bailout will not fix the

The bailout will not fix the financial crisis, it will only postpone it, probably until after Nov 4. President Bush went on tv last night to shake down the American people. His speech was blasphemous. It was unprecedented in American history. Bush is the sole cause of the financial meltdown and now he is playing the fear card (again) to railroad the congress into a 1.4 trillion (add in Freddie and Fanny, AIG and Bear Stearns) dollar swindle to bail out his super wealthy buddies and keep the economy on life support to benefit John McCain's campaign. Let the cards fall as they may, it is inevitable. Just say NO to bailouts.

When credit companies can,

When credit companies can, across the board, raise a borrower's interest rate to 30 and 35% because of one late payment to one credit company you are creating a situation where that borrower may not be able to pay his or her mortgage payments. Add to that the loss of the possibility of filing for bankruptcy and you have squeezed the little guy absolutely dry and instituted a virtual debtor's prison. When the little guy is tapped out, who will pay the big guy? Neither candidate has asked for the reinstatement of the old bankruptcy laws nor for the regulation of lending organizations at the level of the individual borrower. And McCain has, at the moment, bested Obama by using Obama's own tactics of calling for unity. Yes indeed, revolt would be sweet but if the little guy's representatives are terrorized by the Lords of Finance, what should honest, hard-working Americans do?

Here is an interesting

Here is an interesting question raised in a recent email I received... Are credit markets really about to seize up? If so, what kinds of evidence of it should be seeing? Are business owners telling us their loans are about to be called? Are banks still willing to loan us money? It's gotta be pretty simple to find out. For sure, don't take the word of a sock puppet!

Congress is going to cave

Congress is going to cave unless they can come up with a better idea. Can't we end the mortgage meltdown by simply underwriting all mortgages. A blanket US guarantee to cover any defaults at a reduced rate (85%?) should restore market confidence by removing the risks from all balance sheets at once. This would effectively set the bottom of the market and end the mortgage crisis. The billions already thrown at the problem by the Paulson and Bernanke Show have saddled taxpayers with AIG insured mortgages and GSE risks anyway. Instead of buying more worthless paper, let’s just declare all of the paper good. We can use the $700 billion to offset the losses we will incur in restructuring the mortgages that do default. A re-nationalized Fannie Mae can return to the purpose for which it was created by refinancing these “toxic instruments” into reasonable mortgages that can be repaid. Extend loan terms over 40 or 50 years if necessary to make them affordable. Properties with no possibility of repayment can be donated to land trusts or used in other ways to creatively resolve affordable housing needs. If taxpayers have to foot the bill for the sub-prime debacle we should spend the money cleaning up the mortgages that are at the root of the crisis. There’s less moral hazard in bailing out sub-prime borrowers whose mistakes can’t be repeated than in rewarding the perpetrators any further. The administration’s concern about the housing crisis does not extend to foreclosed houses or the neighborhoods where they stand empty, looted, and awaiting demolition at taxpayer expense. Apparently Congress has to pass a bill that rescues Wall Street by absorbing the mortgage risk. We should lobby for a direct takeover of the mortgages themselves. If we have to spend taxpayer $$ to mitigate this crisis, let’s give Congress an option that protects our communities from further destruction and erosion of property value, restores equity to the vast majority of Americans whose homes are not at risk, and allows the economy to move confidently forward.

The Bailout is just plain

The Bailout is just plain wrong.

"revolt?" That's juts what

"revolt?" That's juts what they want-- so they can enact martial law. And hire the unemployed to police and detain the rest of us. People who protest have been charged as terrorists. So, who's going to "revolt"? Vomit, yes, but revolt? How? The palace revolutions in 1917 Russia worked because the Czar was weak. The current regime is not weak. The only way its going to break is from the inside- somewhere in the chain of command, somebody's got to have a conscience.

Woody Guthrie was soooo

Woody Guthrie was soooo right: "Some will rob you with a six-gun, some with a fountain pen".

Your history is incorrect,

Your history is incorrect, and your analysis flawed. Deregulation has only failed because of implied government bailouts of GSEs (and even non-GSEs). That is akin to a business functioning without any regard for its future. If the market were allowed to regulate these firms without any government oversight and without any government bailout promises, there would be sound business practices. And the isolated cases where there were not, the firm would dissolve on its own and a more competent institution would replace it. This crisis is not the result of deregulation. It is precisely the opposite. It annoys me that the Austrians are so perfectly vindicated during all of this, and yet are so efficiently ignored.

It is not unprecedented.

It is not unprecedented. See the FDR response to the Hoover housing crisis - the Home owners Loan Act.

I like Sweden's attitude

I like Sweden's attitude towards this kind of situation: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/23/business/worldbusiness/23krona.html?em

1) since gift horses can run

1) since gift horses can run fast doesn't mean they are thoroughbreds always winners. 2) be very careful what you give up to whom, where, and why. 3) there are many bad people involved when large stakes are on the line. big money always attracts the sleaze, slim, and bottom feeders. 4) pond scum should not be dismissed even though it floats on top. 5) always, always err on caution and exercise extreme verve in taking confidence scammers to task. 6) vote like your future depends on it. question, question, demand, then qeustion again.

The justification for this

The justification for this bailout is that we need to get illiquid assets of of the banks balance sheets so that they can raise capital and keep lending to main street. This will not work. "Main street" will not qualify for new loans until either home prices fall further or wages increase. The real danger of this bill is that it will actually make the economy worse by tanking the dollar and raising both interest rates and gas prices. A better alternative would be to allow banks to keep the illiquid assets on their books by lowering reserve requirements for some period of time, perhaps with reserve requirements adjusting upward a notch each year. In return for lower reserve requirements, banks should be required to eliminate dividends and limit executive pay. All could be accomplished without 700B of the taxpayer's (borrowed) money.

That sucks!

That sucks!

So what else is new? Every

So what else is new? Every single move the Bush administration ever made, abetted by a Republican Congress, benefitted big business in some way--with pretty much complete disdain for domestic social programs. From the Iraq War (Halliburton, various civilian contractors in Iraq, domestic industries connected with the military) on down, think of something (tax cuts, pollution, on and on and on) that wasn't inspired by benefits for big business and the ultra-rich in general. Please don't mention that the Democrats have had "control" of Congress for most of 2 years. Their edge in the Senate is so slim at present that there was no way to over-ride a presidential veto. And there was also a similar filibuster alternative also available to the GOP.

Since they are trying to get

Since they are trying to get us to pay TWICE for this mess, (once in taxes and secondly in inflation). I propose that we only pay through inflation. Don't file a tax return for 2008. There is no law saying you have to pay income tax on your wages, only on "gains" which is profit.