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The Truth About Jobs That No One Wants to Tell You

by: Robert Reich   |  Robert Reich's Blog

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Created under the WPA arts program. Saint Helena, California, artist Lew Keller, "Grape Pickers” 1942 oil on canvas. (Artwork: Napa Valley Guidebook / Wikispaces.com)

    Unemployment will almost certainly in double-digits next year -- and may remain there for some time. And for every person who shows up as unemployed in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' household survey, you can bet there's another either too discouraged to look for work or working part time who'd rather have a full-time job or else taking home less pay than before (I'm in the last category, now that the University of California has instituted pay cuts). And there's yet another person who's more fearful that he or she will be next to lose a job.

    In other words, ten percent unemployment really means twenty percent underemployment or anxious employment. All of which translates directly into late payments on mortgages, credit cards, auto and student loans, and loss of health insurance. It also means sleeplessness for tens of millions of Americans. And, of course, fewer purchases (more on this in a moment).

    Unemployment of this magnitude and duration also translates into ugly politics, because fear and anxiety are fertile grounds for demagogues weilding the politics of resentment against immigrants, blacks, the poor, government leaders, business leaders, Jews, and other easy targets. It's already started. Next year is a mid-term election. Be prepared for worse.

    So why is unemployment and underemployment so high, and why is it likely to remain high for some time? Because, as noted, people who are worried about their jobs or have no jobs, and who are also trying to get out from under a pile of debt, are not going do a lot of shopping. And businesses that don't have customers aren't going do a lot of new investing. And foreign nations also suffering high unemployment aren't going to buy a lot of our goods and services.

    And without customers, companies won't hire. They'll cut payrolls instead.

    Which brings us to the obvious question: Who's going to buy the stuff we make or the services we provide, and therefore bring jobs back? There's only one buyer left: The government.

    Let me say this as clearly and forcefully as I can: The federal government should be spending even more than it already is on roads and bridges and schools and parks and everything else we need. It should make up for cutbacks at the state level, and then some. This is the only way to put Americans back to work. We did it during the Depression. It was called the WPA.

    Yes, I know. Our government is already deep in debt. But let me tell you something: When one out of six Americans is unemployed or underemployed, this is no time to worry about the debt.

    When I was a small boy my father told me that I and my kids and my grand-kids would be paying down the debt created by Franklin D. Roosevelt during the Depression and World War II. I didn't even know what a debt was, but it kept me up at night.

    My father was right about a lot of things, but he was wrong about this. America paid down FDR's debt in the 1950s, when Americans went back to work, when the economy was growing again, and when our incomes grew, too. We paid taxes, and in a few years that FDR debt had shrunk to almost nothing.

    You see? The most important thing right now is getting the jobs back, and getting the economy growing again.

    People who now obsess about government debt have it backwards. The problem isn't the debt. The problem is just the opposite. It's that at a time like this, when consumers and businesses and exports can't do it, government has to spend more to get Americans back to work and recharge the economy. Then - after people are working and the economy is growing - we can pay down that debt.

    But if government doesn't spend more right now and get Americans back to work, we could be out of work for years. And the debt will be with us even longer. And politics could get much uglier.

  

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The UGLY DIRTY little

The UGLY DIRTY little secrets of our past history in this nation were always right there - right in front of our noses, smelly and still stinky after all these years, the same mobster government and public officials who brought us to this brink of total disaster because the economy only worked to continue the work of these death merchants and war mongers of the world over and above the needs of the human race or the planet. They continue ( an we allow) the same folks to stink up the world and we continue to put on nose plugs and ignore where the ill smells originated or hold them accountable. Where is all the money bilked from the American people? who continue to divide rather than ask for their inheritance back.

Another component of this

Another component of this situation not mentioned is (are) demographic and environmental changes over the past 60 years. The world of economics and politics aren't detached from those changes. In fact they are more closely linked than ever. World population in 1950 was less than half what it is today. No one was concerned with global climate change (it wasn't even conceptualized) or fossil fuel depletion. Then we could "grow our way" out of the economic malaise after the war with impunity--not anymore. I don't disagree that government spending priorities have been misguided, egregiously so, but we need to focus on "sustainable development," rather than growth as we've known it in the conventional sense. Before the recent presidential election there was hope for "green jobs" away from destructive military spending and expansion of the FIRE sector. A vast topic for another discussion perhaps but not irrelevant. --JR

From the point of view of

From the point of view of the economy, Mr. Reich is right on. With our financial institutions not lending (creating money), the government needs to step in. Where he is wrong is in the big picture. Beyond the economy, we have the more serious worries of the ecology, of which the economy is only a part. Our relations with the ecology that sustains us and every other living thing -- in other words, life -- are a disaster. And here's the point: the "jobs" that we have been doing all this years and decades and centuries are what is causing the disaster. Our "jobs" are the problem. Directly or indirectly, jobs are causing the ecological collapse. It's tied to population, too. When a billion people were doing their "jobs" -- this was the situation about 200 years ago -- the planet apparently could handle it. Then came the fossil fuel bubble and the population explosion. The combination has been deadly. We have been too successful. During these 200 years, we have developed the system of industrial employment, under which it is thought that no one (except coupon clippers) is entitled to the wherewithal for life except people who have jobs and earn money. This system is actually a system of oppression under which all do the bidding of the financial lords, notwithstanding what we are instructed concerning "democracy," and "government of, by and for the people." The immediate problem is making sure that people do have the wherewithal for life -- without causing further ecological problems. The greater problem is revising our ideas and assumptions so that we reduce the human population (without catastrophe) and develop as system of interaction not based on that instrument of oppression: money.

How easy, though, and

How easy, though, and convenient it is during trying times - to kick the victim. McDonalds, presumably, has openings, so no one should be able to claim an inability to find a job. A famous author, in fact, has made a successful career with a well know parachute book, maintaing, that the responsibility for making money falls on the individual. The truth of how Corporations actually make money is closer to socialism.

How easy, though, and

How easy, though, and convenient it is during trying times - to kick the victim. McDonalds, presumably, has openings, so no one should be able to claim an inability to find a job. A famous author, in fact, has made a successful career with a well know parachute book, maintaing, that the responsibility for making money falls on the individual. The truth of how Corporations actually make money is closer to socialism.

Republicans making the

Republicans making the argument that we need to stem the tide of debt are using fear, number one, and number two: fear that is unfounded if history, and recent news (http://seekingalpha.com/article/163834-households-cut-back-while-government-debt-grows), are any guide. Remember the Reagan years of unfettered gov't spending waved off by Republicans as a non-issue? But they are also acting on behalf of the concerns of their primary constituents: the very rich and big business, and are thus more out of touch with average Americans than ever. And so this subject is a good transition to exposing the similarity of the unfounded fear Republicans are spreading about gov't. debt, with the fear Republicans are spreading about a "government takeover" of healthcare. And about the need for healthcare reform which takes profit out of the equation, and provides Americans with portable, dependable healthcare that people continue to have whether or not they have a job. A public option won't accomplish this, state co-ops won't do this, the status quo won't do this, only a single-payer, Medicare-for-all-style system, based on the best of HR676 and S703, can do this through hundreds of billions of dollars in administrative savings. The problem is not the government at the moment, it's big business and their representatives in government.

I fall in to the category of

I fall in to the category of the unemployed. I lost my job about a year ago and along with it my health insurance. I have been collecting unemployment compensation in my state and looking for full time work in order to regain health insurance. Nobody is hiring full time. I really, really want to thank the state of California for the unemployment benefits I've been receiving, without them I'd be living in my car. Those benefits are about to run out so I'm giving up the hope of a full time job and looking for part time work that I make rent money with. I no longer spend money on movies, sports events, cable TV, golf, eating in restaurants and other things and I now cut my own hair. I can see where this particular trickle down economic theory is working just fine. It started with millionaire bankers and investors screwing up the economy and is passing down the food chain to us slugs who punch in and out every day for a little above minimum wage. My job loss is putting more people like myself out of work at shops, restaurants, and everywhere else I used to spend my paycheck. Ronald Regan's trickle down theory didn't work when it was supposed to be wealth moving down to the worker, but its in high gear when poverty hits the bottom tier.

Sorry Mr. Reich, but I don't

Sorry Mr. Reich, but I don't feel sorry for your situation with the U of Calif. I see you on talk shows and read your articles everywhere. I'm going to assume you get compensated for most of this as well as any books you may have written. You are nowhere near the situation of millions of Americans find themselves in and your opening remarks which are supposed to convince us you understand and share their pain fall flat.

The author misses the

The author misses the solution. Don't get me wrong. I'm all for more jobs (good jobs) and government (good government) BUT you can't solve a problem with the same thinking that created it in the first place. The new, New Deal is not OUR solution. Our economy is a Ponzi scheme. We have to face that reality. Just throwing money at the problem only kicks the can down the street a little further. Can you kick it far enough you personally won't have to take any responsibility? Are we adults or spoiled children? At some point collapse will happen if we continue on this path. We are already past the time of easy solutions. Now we suffer, finding it necessary to make the really hard choices. Find the courage, put our collective feet down and force the thieves from our midst. With non-violence. Violence will only make matters worse. It's many forms is what got us here. We can get beyond this mess but not without pain. Growing up and stepping into one's power is never painless. It will require each one of us to demand the accountability of a government beholden to corporate power. But you won't solve our economic problems with a 80 year old solution for a 80+ year problem. FDR wasn't working with the same degree of degradation of governmental, economic and societal systems. It doesn't negate the wisdom of FDR's actions, it simply means we need to find our own unique solutions for our unique problems. When are we going to look honestly at ourselves, our situation and dig deep for authentic solutions?

Correction, "nobody" (as in

Correction, "nobody" (as in executive branch, pundits & Congress) EVER worries about deficits when it comes to defense/military budgets & armed conflict. For that matter, neither Congress nor the exec seemed at all worried about how much further in debt TARP, TALF, et al would put the US taxpayer. It's only an issue when discussing single payer helath care reform (i.e., switching to a system that would cost less in the long run) or any kind of social program that doesn't benefits just the wealthy. Then it's a concern.

The government spending that

The government spending that aided recovery after the Great Depression was not the WPA, it was WWII.

My Reich who comes from the

My Reich who comes from the Bubba Clinton Gang, gave us Nafta, and outsourced our industrial base to China, in a move that has destroyed our economy and the working classes..How much money has Mr Reich made since his days with the Clinton group? Let him go to work for the WPA...and the CCC..It's time for Obama and his gang to admit that the Democratic party doublecrossed the working classes, and we had better try to re-build our industrial base. We are in a major depression, and anything worse comes the revolution.

This is the solidest,

This is the solidest, clearest piece I've seen in years. Reich is right on the mark! We absolutely need a new WPA! Steelworkers and most major unions are supporting & bldg. the Apollo Project, the Blue/Green Alliances. These are big alliances that are for making green jobs mainstream, union jobs, with good benefits that a major factors in communities. These are where the new Works Project Administration should build its jobs program---massive Federal spending to put people back to work, developing and sustaining Green energy!

Ok, The WPA helped... But so

Ok, The WPA helped... But so did The WWII..., Right..?.... Now.., TODAY--- The NUMBER 1 Way to help working and out of work Americans is to create a Universal Healthcare System For ALL...!!... And if Democrats.., including the Blue DogPile Democrats.., can't make that happen, then how will they make anything happen for the sake of ALL Americans...?... Perhaps America, FDR and the Democrats at the time were not so blatantly Corporate owned and operated and afraid of Insane Corporate Republicans as they are today... FDR and The Democrat Majority of the time Formulated strategy for and Funded a World War and a the road to recovery from an actual Depression AND created Social Security at the same time... Perhpas because they we not all spending time prepping for 24 hour newz cycles dominated by the few Global Corporations that own almost all American media today... Perhaps because they were actual patriotic Americans dealing with the here and now, and not a ''You can be a Star Too'' media driven bunch of smiley faces always looking to their next election...

The thing that galls me most

The thing that galls me most about this business is that the GOP's only solution to everything seems to be more tax cuts. Every year of the Bush 43 administration he tried to push through yet another tax cut, even after he suddenly (should have) learned on a bright sunny Tuesday in September that the government actually does have a need for certain things like bombers and soldiers and intelligence gathering and other such boring mundane things. There didn't seem to be a situation when the GOP ever thought a tax cut wasn't a good idea if not the best idea. So we went through the last eight years with not only diminished revenue from lower tax revenues because of the crashing economy this last year, we also had a group of people in charge whose avowed mission was to defund the government period. And they wonder why we won't let them run things right now.

The most obvious place to

The most obvious place to get enough money for public works is the obscenely bloated military budget. That's America's big - rebuild peacefully, or collapse in the desperate attempt to continue an absurd empire.

I expect that 10 %

I expect that 10 % unemployment will be the new norm if realistic calculations that include those no longer eligible under current unemployment programs are used by the federal government. Planning for that level of unemployment will be crucial to avoid social chaos in future years.

...didn't Obama promise to

...didn't Obama promise to do this? Ooops...most of his campaign funds came from...

creating more debt at a time

creating more debt at a time of ecological collapse will only speed up ecological collapse. The tricks that worked in the 1930's no longer work due to the ecological situation and global warming.

Structural unemployment for

Structural unemployment for middle aged individuals will be the long term result. Companies are disproportionately laying off their oldest and most expensive workers (higher pay and higher health insurance costs) and when the nation's economy recovers many of these people will never get a job paying anywhere near that of the job they lost. They will end up as clerks at Wal-Mart or Home Depot or running some small business from their home but at an income that will be a fraction of what they were making before the bank fraud led meltdown and they will not be able to afford medical coverage regardless of whatever bill the health care companies allow out of Congress. I can easily predict higher suicide rates among those 50 and older and many reaching retirement age and taking their social security payments with them as they head to Mexico where they can afford to live and afford the health care costs. Se habla Espanol?

Excellent article, excellent

Excellent article, excellent comments, especially StoneyBird; and speaking of birds, we humans have 'soiled our nest'. Yesterday's solutions are obsolete. We must take drastic action on the most basic issues of planetary preservation and overpopulation or our social issues of economy, healthcare, immigration, war will only continue to deteriorate.

"...we need to focus on

"...we need to focus on 'sustainable development' rather than growth as we've known it..." ; Our economy is a Ponzi scheme...When are we going to... dig deep for authentic solutions?" The sustainable way out of the ponzi scheme and into a dignified, honorable and equitably prosperous economy is explained clearly in the book Progress and Poverty by Henry George, one of America's most important thinkers, (according to Einstein). If you read it carefully, it is like taking the blue pill. Once you understand the "law of rent", you can get unplugged from the Matrix and get effective in helping the world get back to reality before it's too late.