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Let's Get Real About Israel and Iran

by: Steve Weissman, t r u t h o u t | Op-Ed

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Iranian woman protests in the streets of Tehran. (Photo: .faramarz / flickr)

    The military option for dealing with Iran remains on the table, President Obama repeatedly reminds us. The Pentagon hustles to modify our B-2 stealth bombers to carry a newly developed bunker-busting bomb that can destroy hardened underground targets, such as Iran's newly acknowledged enrichment facility near the holy city of Qom. Israeli President Netanyahu promises that "Iran will not acquire nuclear arms, and this implies everything necessary to carry this out." And pundits from the neoconservative editorial writers at The Washington Post to the neoprogressive Arianna Huffington continue to proclaim that a nuclear Iran would pose "an existential threat" to the Jewish state, a claim that Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak refuses to buy.

    Why think of war? The world has heard no evidence that Iran has nuclear weapons, and only an unproved case that it is pursuing them. Yet, we are already getting set for the airstrikes that former Vice President Dick Cheney never got the chance to unleash. It's absurd and far more dangerous than our political leaders have bothered to explain.

    "After you've dropped those bombs on those hardened facilities, what happens next?" asks retired four-star Gen. Anthony Zinni. "What happens if they decide, in their hardened shelters with their mobile missiles, to start launching those? What happens if they launch them into US bases on the other side of the gulf? What happens if they launch into Israel, or somewhere else? Into a Saudi oil field? Into Ras Laffan, with all the natural gas? What happens if they now flush their fast patrol boats, their cruise missiles, the [unclear] full of mines, and they sink a tanker, an oil tanker? And of course the economy of the world goes absolutely nuts. What happens if they activate sleeper cells? The MOIS, the intelligence service - what happens if another preemptive attack by the West, the US and Israel, they fire up the streets and now we got problems. Just tell me how to deal with all that, okay?"

    In this excerpt from his remarks to the New America Foundation in September, General Zinni shows how military planners think ahead. "Because," he says, "eventually, if you follow this all the way down, eventually I'm putting boots on the ground somewhere. And like I tell my friends, if you like Iraq and Afghanistan, you'll love Iran."

    As Zinni makes clear, pre-emptive airstrikes on Iran would be nothing like Israel's hit-and-run attack on Iraq's Osirak reactor in September 1980. Iran will respond, wreaking havoc on American lives and interests in Iraq, Afghanistan and the Persian Gulf. Short of a direct threat to the United States, why even consider such an option? And why stand back and let the Israelis pursue a military option of their own?

    Yes, the Israelis have every right to ensure their own survival, but not with weapons we have provided and not when its actions would draw us into war, which attacking Iran would do. Eisenhower blocked the Israelis at Suez in 1956; Obama should do no less on Iran.

    He should let the Israelis know now that American forces will deny Iraqi airspace to Israeli planes. He should persuade the Saudis and Turks to do the same. He should stop Georgia from hosting Israeli aircraft for any attack on Iran. And he should take steps to prevent Israeli submarines from firing missiles into Iran.

    Obama should do all this quietly if he can, publicly if he must. Netanyahu must be under no illusions, and the American people should be led to understand where our interests lie. As US Defense Secretary Robert Gates keeps saying, an attack would at best delay Iran's nuclear program from one to three years. But the threat to American - and Israeli - interests would go on and on.

  

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A veteran of the Berkeley Free Speech Movement and the New Left monthly Ramparts, Steve Weissman lived for many years in London, working as a magazine writer and television producer. He now lives and works in France.

Comments

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''War is Peace'' just ask

''War is Peace'' just ask the Nobel Peace Prize Committee

Obama needs to tell

Obama needs to tell Netanyahu that if Israel attacks Iran, the US will shoot down the Israeli attack planes and also bomb the Knesset.

Good, sane piece, Steve.

Good, sane piece, Steve. Funny how the politics of reasonable moderation, once the hallmark of conservatism, has somehow moved to the left. Now, if only reason could prevail...

Thanks for some sanity in

Thanks for some sanity in discussing throwing missiles around. There is a real world out there beyond the beltway. Thanks also for mentioning Israel's submarines with intercontinental balistic missiles in them,a very seldom mentioned subject. Why is it only they who may have them? The U.S. overthrew Mohammed Mossedegh in 1953 in Iran, installed the Shah, encouraged war between Iran and Iraq. We, the U.S., are the ones with the proven record of war mongering.

Israel has nuclear weapons,

Israel has nuclear weapons, no matter how coyly they respond. Why is this even OUR fight? If anything, we "owe" the Iranians for unwarranted meddling there (at the behest of transnational oil interests, principally). The people of that region don't need a "Cop-nation" there... especially one with enormous cultural biases, quite akin to racism... and an enormous gap in any grasp of the cultures, there. ^..^

Time and again reports come

Time and again reports come out Iran has no nuke weapons program. Time and again the data is ignored and contradicted. Time and again Ahmadinejad observes Israel carries out a holocaust against Palestine in the style of that used against Jews by the Nazis. Time and again it is mistranslated and mocked...and the Palestinians continue to be ignored. Time and again sanctions are promoted to whip Iran into compliance with the NPT. That would be the same NPT they accepted because it includes a clause rewarding open use of nuclear power with guarantees of freedom from interference. There's a need for a 'fresh approach' all right. Small wonder Iranians exhibit a Missouri streak : "Show Me."

What?? Iran likely has

What?? Iran likely has sleeper cells to use against us? I can't believe a liberal website is admitting this! Now that the "truth" is "out", let's get serious about hunting down these sleeper cells.

Anyone who believes in and

Anyone who believes in and is for war must go to jail, stay there and rot in there. Not like the ones who are still dictating policies.

"Hunt down sleeper cells?"

"Hunt down sleeper cells?" And just how the heck do you propose we do that? Do you even know what a sleeper cell IS? How are we to recognize one? It seems to me that, if it's "asleep", which is to say "not doing anything at the moment", you're talking about "Minority Report"...which is nothing but mediocre Science Fiction! You're ripping out whole pages of what remains of our Constitution! What "W" did was bad enough, don't you think?

Captain Pneumo is correct.

Captain Pneumo is correct. Anonymous @ 04:49 on 10/15 seems to want to launch a world-wide, universal police-state witch hunt. I realize it's the Hallowe'en season, but that's ridiculous! What about the US and Israeli "sleeper cells" in Iran and elsewhere? They're no more legitimate than Iranian agents here or anywhere. As Weissman and Gen. Zinni point out, it is NOT in our interests (nor ultimately in the interests of the Israelis) to keep up the saber-rattling of Netanyahu and Avigdor Lieberman, or the insane nattering of idiots like Dick Cheney, Bill Kristol, et al. Obama's nuclear disarmament efforts MUST include removing Israel's nuclear arsenal, which is one of the most heinous destabilizing factors in the Middle East.

Hahahaaaaaa!!!!! America

Hahahaaaaaa!!!!! America could not stop North Korea. They cannot stop Iran. And America certainly cannot stop Israel !!!

America could easily stop

America could easily stop coddling Israel . . . were it not for Rahm Emmanuel with his hand stopping Obama's mouth. Somebody please tell him he's not a better-looking Karl Rove.