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After Four Decades, Finally, the Beginning of the End

by: Mark Weisbrot, t r u t h o u t | Perspective

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A wall was built near the Lincoln Memorial for visitors to post messages to President-elect Barack Obama. (Photo: Mitch Dumke / Reuters)

    The nation's capital came alive after 11 PM on election eve, as thousands poured into the streets to celebrate a victory that everyone was calling historic. Car horns blaring, whooping and shouting, high fives all around, multi-racial crowds celebrating joyously. Historic it is, most obviously in the election of an African-American president, in a country where millions of black people could not even vote when the new president-elect was born. The rapper Jay-Z elegantly expressed the Obama campaign's connection to the long struggle for equality, along with the enthusiasm that it generated: "Rosa Parks sat so that Martin Luther King could walk. Martin Luther King walked so that Obama could run. Obama's running so that we all can fly."

    But there is another sense in which this election will likely turn out to be historic. For nearly four decades, this country has been moving to the right. Unfortunately we must include the Clinton years in this right-wing trajectory: with such major regressive structural changes as welfare reform, the World Trade Organization and NAFTA, the Clinton administration continued the country's rightward drift on economic if not social issues. In other words, it continued using the government to make rules that would redistribute income, wealth and power towards the upper classes. (These are generally described somewhat inaccurately as "free-market" or "free-trade" policies.)

    The right's ascendancy began with the election of Richard Nixon in 1968, who rode into office on a backlash against the social movements of the 1960s, especially the civil rights and antiwar movements. Nixon's infamous "Southern Strategy" deployed a coded racist appeal that would help make the South Republican and ensure that no Democratic presidential candidate would get a majority of white voters (they didn't from 1968 to 2004).

    Reagan continued this strategy, but also initiated a counterrevolution on the economic front, decimating organized labor and cutting taxes for the rich. It was an economic failure by any objective measure, but it succeeded in drastically changing the ideological climate on economic issues. By the end of the Reagan (and George H.W. Bush) administrations in 1993, the typical Democratic member of Congress was far to the right of Richard Nixon on most economic policy.

    The impact of this economic counterrevolution on the living standards of the majority of Americans can hardly be over-emphasized. Prior to the Reagan years, the United States was on its way to becoming more like Europe, with a welfare state and social safety net that would allow the vast majority of its citizens to enjoy the benefits of a developed, high-income economy. When Medicare and Medicaid were enacted in 1965, it was widely believed that insuring the elderly and the poor, respectively, were just the first steps toward universal health insurance.

    The assault that began with Ronald Reagan's firing of 12,000 striking air traffic controllers in 1981 set the nation on a very different path. By the time George W. Bush took over, he was even able to go after Social Security, the bedrock New Deal anti-poverty program whose beneficiaries include about one-sixth of the population. Bush lost that battle to a grass-roots groundswell of opposition. But the fact that he could even launch such a privatization effort, where Ronald Reagan would not even dare to tread, showed how far America had fallen from the economics, social norms and basic ethical principles that prior generations had taken for granted.

    The end result of America's long right-wing experiment was perhaps the most massive redistribution of income and wealth in our history. Over the last 35 years, there has been virtually no increase in real wages for the majority of the labor force. At the same time, the top 1 percent of households (with earnings of more than $1.2 million) saw their real incomes more than triple. A new "gilded age" of gross class inequalities became the norm; workers without a college degree (still more than 70 percent of the labor force) could no longer have the same expectations of landing a job that would allow them to afford a home and a family.

    Now that long journey into darkness has finally come to an end. My own view is that the 2006 Congressional elections may have been the turning point. It was then that Democrats regained the Congress on the basis of a more populist appeal by some of their candidates, and a mass revulsion with the war in Iraq. Even if McCain had won the presidency in yesterday's election, he would have faced great obstacles in pursuing a right-wing agenda, but he could have taken a lot of people to their graves trying. His best bet for saving the Republican Party from a long walk through the political wilderness would have been the one threatened by Vice President Dick Cheney and other fellow neoconservatives: more war, most likely beginning with a military strike against Iran. This is how they retained the Congress in 2002, when the economy was also bleeding jobs after the bursting of the stock market bubble and the consequent recession of 2001. From August 2002 until the November election, the build-up for the Iraq war pushed all of the voters' most important concerns out of the news. It worked.

    This time they couldn't pull it off, and Obama's election has saved us from a repeat of these kinds of crimes. One of the most interesting things about this election is that it also showed how the Democrats could have avoided most of this long nightmare of right-wing rule by simply appealing to the class interests of the key swing demographic, which is white working class voters. Like Dorothy in "The Wizard of Oz," their way back to Kansas was right in front of them all this time. Noncollege-educated whites with household income between $30,000-$50,000 voted for George W. Bush by a margin of 24 percentage points; for those with income between $50,000-$75,000 it was 41 percentage points (70-29). Obama did not make the kind of appeal that would really clinch this demographic, which includes many "Reagan Democrats"; but Wall Street did it for him. The financial crisis that exploded in mid-September sealed the outcome of this election. The Republicans' fake populist appeal to these swing voters, painting the Democrats as an "elite" who did not respect their culture or religion, rang hollow in the face of millions of mortgage foreclosures, job losses, collapsing retirement savings and a shrinking economy. The politics of deploying "weapons of mass distraction," including the so-called "war on terror," had finally run its course.

    But foreign policy will remain the Democrats' Achilles's heel for some time to come. This is also a mostly self-inflicted handicap. The most important Democratic leaders promote the same assumptions about foreign policy as the Republicans: that terrorism is practically the most important threat facing our country; that extremism and anti-US sentiment in the world has nothing to do with our foreign policy; that America is really defending itself, or promoting "democracy," when it invades other countries or destabilizes foreign governments. If this is really the state of the world, then there is some logic to voting Republican. Why not vote for the guy who is willing to protect us by any means necessary from these unavoidable, mortal dangers?

    And someone who won't be constrained by a political base that includes peace activists and others who might shrink from the violence necessary to defend ourselves? Of course there are millions of Democratic Party activists and primary voters who see right through the charade, and vote Democratic with the hope that the jingoistic campaign rhetoric is just for show. But unfortunately, there are a lot of voters who believe the hype from both parties, which is often reinforced in the media. Thus, on the eve of this election, John McCain still had a 14 percentage-point edge over Barack Obama on "national security," while trailing on almost every other issue. (Interestingly, the people of Washington, DC, and New York City, the prior victims and most at-risk of any future terrorist attack, are practically deaf to the right's fear-mongering - McCain lost DC by 93 percent to 7 percent; while the most receptive audiences live in places like Wyoming and Oklahoma where they are more likely to be hit by a meteor from outer space than to get hurt by a foreign terrorist. This is another indicator of how far removed the politics of "national security" are from any real threats.)

    This time, none of that stuff mattered, because the economy was going down the drain. However, until the Democrats present a more reality-based program on foreign policy, they will still be vulnerable to external events and the hyping of foreign threats, even if they are ridiculously exaggerated, of our own making or altogether imaginary.

    For now, though, the domestic economy will occupy center stage as the new government faces the worst recession in decades, and one that is just beginning - the housing bubble that caused this recession is only about 60 percent deflated. The people have voted for change, including expanded health care coverage and - as they did in 2006 - an end to the Iraq war. How much change we will actually see will depend more than anything on how much pressure there is from below.

    But there is plenty to celebrate in addition to the election of our first African-American president. Forty years is a long time for a country to be on the wrong track, and even worse for one that has so much influence on the rest of the world. We now have an opportunity to resume the economic and social progress that was considered almost inevitable a few decades ago, and to address some of the most urgent environmental problems - most importantly, climate change - which have only recently become widely recognized. Who knows, we might even stop invading other countries and move towards becoming a law-abiding member of the international community. Progress is now at least possible, although it will still be an uphill fight. As Obama himself said in his acceptance speech, "This victory alone is not the change we seek. It is only the chance for us to make that change."

  

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Mark Weisbrot is co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in Washington, DC. He is co-author, with Dean Baker, of "Social Security: The Phony Crisis," and has written numerous research papers on economic policy. He is also president of Just Foreign Policy.

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What is most historic is

What is most historic is that the President elect is the individual with the most votes,in in terms of votes cast, votes counted, the electoral college votes, and lack of interference by Scalia and the Supreme Court. After two presidential elections with widespread electoral fraud by the Republican Party and its cohorts in crime, there is a free and fair election, though not for want of effort on the part of these criminals in many states. What is needed now is a relentless prosecution of these individuals, including those in the Bush administration. Once Dick Cheney leaves office I hope the gloves come off at the Justice Department and at the FBI and he is brought to true justice along with Karl Rove et al.

Perhaps the long national

Perhaps the long national nightmare of Nixon, Reagan, and the Bush catastrophe, could be ended FOR GOOD. Perhaps this could be OUR DEMOCRATIC DREAM MADE REAL.

never did get this myth

never did get this myth about dems being 'soft' on security etc...i mean just as an obvious observation wasn't it the 'republicans' who were in office on 911, not to mention basically birthing and controlling the toxic agenda in this nation for the most part since the 80's? not to mention hurricane katrina, a misleading, costly 'war', the shame of torture, decimated civil liberties et al?! these things are security issues as well as many things like education, health care, infrastructure, energy independence, transparency, enlightened intelligent diplomacy, truly facing the climate change challenges; these too are tremendously (and truly even more) important for the security of a nation and its place in the current world climate then just having the biggest gun and the most righteous ignorance to use it. if all the ridiculous amounts of money used to kill people in the name of 'defense' or 'spreading democracy' was truly put to creating a beneficial world of equality and humanity FIRST and leaving the gods of profit, greed, and the cynical manipulations of fear-based projections behind then a world would be created in which this 'big gun' philosophy would just become for the most an outdated useless stupid and actually extremely dangerous idea. too me thats one of America's best skills; the creation of new ideas and modes of operating that transcend the old paradigms towards lifting the quality of everyones life. but when cynics, the greedy, the fearful and an incredibly narrow concept of 'profit' and 'security' and even 'God' for that matter begin to game the dream we have what america has unfortunately fallen into today. too, the myths of 'the center' and left vs right and their usage in describing the political climate towards justifying particular agendas need to be shown for the charade it is. education not indoctrination is the best first step. peace.

I, too, hope that the

I, too, hope that the criminals--in finance, defense, health, party politics, ..., everywhere--will be pursued with vigor. Showing these so-called "titans" that they are not above the law will restore our faith in our own system, improve our standing among our fellow nations, and help prevent such criminal behavior in the future.

yeah, um... I am happy that

yeah, um... I am happy that Obama was elected over McCain, but how "socialist" is the man who raised the most campaign money in history actually going to be? Like the Supreme Court's drift to the right, this is a stopgap not an advancement. A lot of ground needs to be made up, just basic upgrading of what's left of decency, before anything new happens. Obama may be better than Clinton though. We've made our purchase, let's see how it works...

"election of Richard Nixon

"election of Richard Nixon in 1968, who rode into office on a backlash against the social movements of the 1960s, especially the civil rights and antiwar movements" Excuse me??? I notice that the Democrats responsibility for our troops in Vietnam is being completely ignored. I remember those times. Nixon was for getting our troops out...troops Kennedy sent in when he changed our role from "advisory" to combatant and orchestrated the coup in South Vietnam...troops whose numbers were escalated right through the roof by LBJ. I was there. The issue was Vietnam, not some "backlash" against social movements. I know that you want to paint all Republicans with a horns and forked tails and put little halos over heads of Dems, but that was a huge stretch.

I couldn't agree more with

I couldn't agree more with the rapid stylized time-line given by Mark Weisbrot : IT DID all start with Nixon - the drift to the right - to culminate , as it always does, with a political socioeconomic constipation -fascism in disguise - that cries out for a big social X-Lax. And I love his analysis of the present democrats as being to the economic right of the early neo-nixon-cons..though I take excption with the "end" coming with the democratic victory in 2006... just take a look a Pelosi's perorations...Never has flat out open favoritism been acted upon as POLICY by administration after administration (unhappily demo and rep alike).This deregulatory frenezy is continuing as we speak and will go on unabated for another two odd months as the final pyre in the bunker is being prepared...- actually they lack the guts to even do that , Boshido code be very dif-ickult!...-. And as for the jingoistic talk..that is part of the "game ", what it takes to get elected, so be it : he is now the president elect. Now we have a chance at CHANGE! And in France we are witnessing the same phenomena with Sarkosy who is basing the philosophy of his mandate on the rejection of all the "leftist (soixante-huitards)" unbridled, exhuberant and undisciplined rush toward freedom of thought.

Finally you write something

Finally you write something that I have mentioned to friends and family many times. The Clinton, the 'new democrat' was actually 'republican not-so-light'. But you forgot to give cudos to Carter, who was the last Democratic president that I think who used his administration to protect our nation and people. He also enlisted Nader to help him. I am also glad to see that many are remembering the good days of FDR and all the 'good' regulations that Phil Graham and Greenspan threw away. Grat piece .

....or, the end of the

....or, the end of the Beginning - a new day has dawned, not only for the USA, also for the rest of us.

What amazes me is that after

What amazes me is that after 8 years of abject failure, McCain could get any votes at all. I know someone who voted for McCain and they are the most hard headed, intolerant person I have ever met. The only other person I know who voted for McCain was the wife of a now deceased Navy Admiral. The McCain vote was mostly backlash against liberals. The conservatives have a little less than half the country believing liberal is a dirty word. Then there were those who could not tolerate having an African American president. I am so glad they are finally in the minority.

Excellent article. I was

Excellent article. I was actually hoping that Cindy Sheehan would defeat Nancy Pelosi just to tell the Democrats that they finally need a SPINE! Hopefully, Obama will provide it.

maybe it would have been

maybe it would have been better to let McCain fail instead of Obama...

The 'elite' will never give

The 'elite' will never give up their hold and taking it away will prove most difficult if at all possible. Even getting the constitution back in functioning form will be a major event if it happens. I hope obama can pull it off but his campaign commitments to the corporations and the lobbyist, particularly the aipac lobby, don't instill me with a good feeling for the change we need. And then there is the military, where I see nothing short of firing a lot of generals, getting out of the 2 disastrous wars we are fighting and gaining control over military spending as being essential to part of the restoration of our country from the hole w & dick have driven us into in their view of 'freedom'. Maybe it will happen, I hope it does.

I would like to drop a quick

I would like to drop a quick note to all of the people who are leaving comments saying that they hope Obama will do this or that. Wake up people! Yes we made a great first step in elect Barrack Obama as president. But the grass roots movement does not stop there. This government is ours. It is up to us to demand the Obama and the Justice department file criminal charges against Dick Cheney, Karl Rove, and Condi. It is up to us to demand that congress and the president change our foreign policy. We do not get to sit back and congratulate ourselves on a job well done and then allow the government to do what it wants because we have a new, shiny, fresh sense of complacency. That is how we got into this mess in the first place. Remember: Government does not tell us what to do. We tell the government what to do. Remain active and vigilant in demanding that your elected officials do and accomplish what is needed. It is up to you!!!!!!!

To correct a

To correct a misunderstanding displayed in a comment about Kennedy's escalation of the Viet Nam war. He had committed to the withdrawal of American forces in Viet Nam in National Security Memo 263. Kennedy gained a national reputation from the early '50s by speaking nation wide AGAINST

Anyone that for a minute

Anyone that for a minute thinks that this election was free and fair has got their head in the sand. With the type of voter suppression tactics still in full force courtesy of the outgoing regime how could anyone possibly think this election was going to be fair? This is where Obama's shrewdness came into play that he was able to so effectively parry the republican dirty tricks. As a Constitutional Law Professor (Law schools don't hand out the teaching of Constitutional law to just any prof; it's considered the crown jewels) at one of the most prestigious law schools in the nation Obama was more than familiar with the history of voter suppression tactics and the dark side of politics. It was the subject he taught. He saw the GOP's hand revealed that the cowardly congress could not bring itself to fight. He knew the only way to win was for an overwhelming amount of the electorate to vote for him. He knew as the first black candidate he was more suspect to charges of foul play if the election were close and a challenge could be mounted. If it was a marginal victory, he would lose. Hence the coordination and 50 state strategy, a ground game that applied original tactics that will be studied worldwide in elections to come. On voting day having their volunteers keeping tabs of polling places of which supporters had appeared to vote, so that by midday the noshows could be called again and urged to show up or offered assistance to get to the polling places. Does anything not think for a minute that had it come down to North Carolina that the GOP Oral Roberts lawyers appointed by Bush wouldn't be swarming the election in cahoots with their criminal DOJ appointees? Let's face it, without this criminal administration in power Missouri would have likely gone blue and 50,000 votes would not be missing in Alaska right now, keeping the criminal Ted Stevens in his seat. Yes, it is a moment to rejoice that the steady march of plutocracy and fascism has been stalled. But whether it's really the much hoped for and talked about shift to the left or a mere 4 year respite remains to be seen.

America, and the Forty year

America, and the Forty year March a personal testimony.. Comrades and Tribal Elders..forty years ago, in a warm sunny August weekend, I was crawling on my belly like a reptile to escape the tear gas swirling like an ominous and poisonous cloud just inches above my head, as shouts and shots were in the air and pandemonium prevailed. The enemy was attacking in their starched and neatly pressed, sardonically beautiful in the stark sunshine, sky blue uniforms with heavy armament, and we were weaponless (except for our "righteous indignation"), but we were in charge in a peculiar way because we were fighting for a noble cause..we were fighting weaponless for Peace and Justice throughout our land and God was on our side. Where was I engaged in this noble thing you might ask? I was in Chicago in 68 and we were resisting and protesting the erroneous or at least misguided gaggle of " citizens" that were gathered in a convention hall to nominate a candidate (a Can't i date, really), that "claimed" he was going to end that atrocious foreign war, as the Democratic Party was meeting behind closed doors, (closed to us), to nominate a man to hold our land’s so called highest office. I was in Gants Park those forty years ago and today after forty years in the wilderness, we finally (and with great satisfaction and tears of Joy,) are finally in the Promised Land, and, Grant's Park was filled overflowing with nearly a million liberated citizens, and was again, the "Valley of Decision" for our proud and fragile nation. From now on it is America versus Babylon. Bablon was almost entrenched here and everywhere else in the world. From now on everyone in the world is in the Valley of Decision and we all have to make a decision where do we stand..with America (the New "reconstituted" America now), or with the global specter that the Holy Bible calls.. "Babylon", the global evil counterfeit government that "was” slowly and methodically forming here, enveloping almost undetected, and still emerging abraod. All enemies, I repeat ALL enemies, foreign and domestic, are now and forevermore, in God's spotlight, and we can see better now the outlines and intentions of "the enemy", and we together will win this war, no kidding! Come join U.S., because we still have God on our side and we will prevail.

Buckle your seat belts. The

Buckle your seat belts. The next 4 years are going to be a rough, rough ride. It's a good thing we seem to have a competent driver (better late than never), but the road ahead is truly terrible. By 2012, much of the world may be undergoing the waterboard-like torture of droughts and flooding, and their accompanying biospheric hazards (diseases, pests, and starvation). If the peoples of the world haven't worked out a way to avoid wars and work together by then, humanity will be facing chaos and a radical reduction in its living population. American taxpayers will not be thinking about taxes, 401(k)s, or the "World Series". They'll be thinking about their economy as a tool for adapting to reality.

My Hopes for Obama's

My Hopes for Obama's Administration I am very clear that an Obama administration cannot be vindictive, but it must undo the harm to the Constitution, to the people and to the world that the Bushes, Clinton, Reagan and their minions did to all of the above. If people like Cheney are prosecuted because they broke laws for which they should be punished, well and good: they should be, in order for those laws to be enforced once again, but they shouldn't be pursued just to fulfill a vendetta. The same is true of the bankers and speculators: they should be prosecuted for their thefts, their misappropriation of other people's wealth, but only so that no one will do things like that again. I hope that Obama will be as measured, honest, insightful and just as he appeared in his campaign. One of the people my wife canvassed said of Obama: "I love him because he does not judge." I hope that in our international relations we have in Obama the kind of leader that commands through love, not fear. The US, as the most militarized nation on earth, could lead the world in disarmament, so that human beings can work towards common good, instead of diverting criminal amounts into means for killing each other. I hope Obama will fulfill his stated commitment to begin the process of ridding the world of the threat of nuclear weapons once and for all.

We'll talk later, when

We'll talk later, when America elects a woman, a non-Christian, an atheist, and a gay as president. Until then, I still consider Americans dumb as dirt, willfully ignorant, and religiously intolerant despite our constitutional laws.

***I would like to drop a

***I would like to drop a quick*** Fri, 11/07/2008 - 01:41 β€” Anonymous (not verified)*************This is where the seats in congress make the difference, so much so that with the number of 'well entrenched' lifers that held their seats may hamper the ability to make changes and hold the irresponsible and the criminal up for prosecution will most likely not happen. I can see not a difference with pelosi and reid still holding on to their control of the house and senate, both should have been voted out of office as they are the blue dog types that will prevent any attempt by obama to gain some kind of control of government and spending and ethics. Not to mention as I did in an earlier comment here, of obama's campaigning to the corporations and lobbyists and the military for the continuation of the 2 disastrous wars being fought for the money pot for the 'elite'. This hold damn sure needs plugging up.

respect and peace for all

respect and peace for all things will help all. May the great spirt one of many names touch you with a wind to keep you strong for all the days to come. no one is better, we may be better at some things but we are not better than others. my heart is with you. hugs norma

Congratulations to all who

Congratulations to all who did whatever they could to overwhelm the voting numbers so the elections couldn't be stolen again. I know so many people who helped up to the last minute, including myself and even If I got at least one person to vote for Obama and against McCain/Palin, it is my victory too. It was truly a pleasure to be on the side of such a brilliantly planned campaign and to support a candidate that we can all be proud of. I do very much hope that some of the criminals that almost destroyed us do get put in jail. For Pelosi to say recently that there still was no evidence to Impeach or prosecute anyone is an insult to our intelligence. She also said she hadn't read Kucinich's 35 Articles for Impeachment, that has got to be a lie. As a woman with some Italian heritage, I'm so sorry Pelosi has done such a bad job. I wanted so to be proud of her.

But...what if...Mr. bush

But...what if...Mr. bush doesn't want to leave the office he's lied and stolen to get? The office he's helped to make the most powerful it's ever been? Just who would make him leave? There is no honor in Mr. bush. No honor can make him leave. Thus, Barack Obama will not serve as our President. We will continue to be served by the resident that represents the worst that the u.s. has to offer.