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World's Citizens to Politicians: Get Serious on Global Warming Now!

by: Richard Sclove  |  Yes! Magazine

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(Photo: NASA; Edited: Jared Rodriguez / t r u t h o u t)

On September 26th, a new day dawned for global democracy.

On that date, nearly 4,000 people gathered in 38 countries spanning six continents to consider what should happen at the UN climate change negotiation this December in Copenhagen (COP15).

The passionate convictions that emerged should prompt serious second thoughts among UN negotiators and national politicians, including Obama Administration officials, who have recently warned that it won't be possible to hammer out a new climate treaty in Copenhagen.

An International Call to Action

The September 26 assemblies were organized by World Wide Views on Global Warming, the first planetwide citizens' deliberation in human history. Participants embraced their role as citizen advisors enthusiastically and seriously. The results are remarkable.

  • Around the world and in the U.S., nine out of ten participants believe that it is urgent for the UN COP15 climate summit to reach a new international agreement this year.
  • Worldwide, 89 percent (87 percent in the U.S.) want that deal to reduce year 2020 greenhouse gas emissions for developed nations 25-40 percent or more beneath 1990 levels. That's more ambitious than proposals on the table for Copenhagen or than the pending Kerry-Boxer Senate bill, which would cut U.S. emissions only 20 percent below 2005 levels.
  • Globally, 88 percent (82 percent in the U.S.) favor holding global warming to within 2 degrees Celsius of pre-industrial levels. Half the participants, especially in countries predicted to be hardest hit by climate change, want to maintain temperatures at the current level or bring them down to pre-industrial levels.
  • There is strong consensus for sharing the burdens of mitigating and adapting to climate change, with 76 percent favoring 2020 emissions reduction targets for fast-growing economies like India, China, and Brazil. Among the 38 represented countries, Chinese participants were the least inclined to introduce 2020 targets for fast-growing economies; even so, 45 percent support such reductions, another 52 percent support limiting growth in emissions in fast-growing economies, and none believed that there should be no commitment to control such emissions.

Poignantly, citizens from the lowest-income nations–which have contributed the least to global warming but stand to suffer some of the worst consequences–were generally more willing to limit their own national greenhouse gas emissions than citizens from wealthier nations would consider asking them to.

"World Wide Views has given us politicians a unique insight into the views of ordinary citizens from all corners of the world on the climate crisis," said Connie Hedegaard, Denmark's influential minister of climate and energy and the host of the upcoming UN climate summit. "It is a powerful signal to the politicians when citizens all over the world agree that action is urgent."

But are citizens ready to put their wallets on the line to limit global warming? You bet.

Worldwide, 74 percent believe that fossil fuel prices should be increased in developed nations. That percentage averaged 69 percent among the 338 Americans who met in Atlanta, Boston, Denver, Los Angeles, and Phoenix.

In addition, 71 percent of the U.S. participants (and 86 percent worldwide) favor creating a new global financial mechanism to assist developing nations in limiting their carbon footprints and adapting to climate change.

What of nations that don't meet their obligations under a new climate deal? In America, a compelling 71 percent said that non-complying countries should be subject to significant or severe economic sanctions. Globally, that figure was 83 percent.

Not Your Typical Opinion Poll

The strength of these convictions contrasts with bewildering contradictions that otherwise litter the political landscape of climate change. For instance:

  • Just two days before 350.org's International Day of Climate Action on October 24th, a new Pew poll found that Americans' concern with global warming is declining. (Only 35 percent of the Pew respondents expressed strong concern about global warming, compared with 74 percent of the U.S. participants in World Wide Views.) 
  • A month after British scientists expressed "shock" at their own new predictions that average global temperature could rise a searing 7 degrees Farenheit before today's children reach retirement, the New York Times reported that international negotiators now see little chance that they will succeed in producing a new climate change treaty at the UN summit in Copenhagen.

In the face of such opposing trends, why did World Wide Views yield such strong statements of concern and striking calls to action?

World Wide Views' process differed significantly from traditional opinion polls. Participants received balanced expert information in advance, building largely on the most recent assessment by the Nobel Prize-winning UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. They also learned the views of scientists more skeptical about global warming and of others more alarmed. Then they spent an entire day talking together, in neutrally facilitated deliberations, prior to voting on policy recommendations.

Participants were everyday people selected to reflect general demographic tendencies in their nation or region in terms of age, gender, education, occupation, urban versus rural residency, and ethnicity or race. Climate experts and staff from organized stakeholder groups involved with global warming were excluded.

"I'm from West Virginia; coal miners don't talk a lot about climate change," explained participant Larry Ragland of Methuen, Massachusetts. "I'm not an environmentalist, and two weeks ago I had a completely different impression of what climate change meant."

In contrast, climate change polls typically ask a random sample of people a few simple questions over the phone, frequently interrupting dinnertime. It's a dubious way to inform public policy. Nothing in the U.S. Constitution, political theory, or political history suggests that relying on fleeting, off-the-cuff public opinion would be a sensible way to guide important decisions, least of all on a complex issue that potentially involves enormous and irreversible planetary consequences cascading out over centuries.

What we're hearing from World Wide Views is not seat-of-the-pants opinion but carefully considered judgment. The results provide the strongest measure available to date of informed popular opinion worldwide, and indicate the direction general public opinion is likely to move as we all learn more about the consequences of global warming.

Toward the end of the day on September 26th, citizens brainstormed and voted on their own action proposals for the UN climate negotiators. The top idea from Bangladesh: a new climate deal should create an international court to try climate cases and "provide opportunity for negatively affected countries to claim compensation." The sentiment is understandable. According to experts, in coming decades rising sea levels and other global warming consequences could turn millions of Bangladeshis into refugees.

Deliberative Democracy at the Global Level

Through World Wide Views, humanity has begun to find its voice. The next step is for all of us to pitch in and amplify that voice, ensuring that politicians and negotiators understand that, around the world, people who have a chance to become informed and reflect about climate change want their leaders to do more and go faster, not scale back and slow down as they're apparently inclined to do now.

Indeed, if anyone tries to dismiss the efforts of environmental activist groups like 350.org as somehow fringe, World Wide Views provides uniquely compelling evidence that, in this case, the activists sit squarely in the mainstream of considered public opinion.

The gap between current popular opinion (as measured by climate change polls) and considered opinion as revealed by World Wide Views-style citizen deliberation defines the space for enlightened politics and authentic political leadership. Politicians who move too far and too fast ahead of poll-measured popular opinion risk policy defeat or even forfeiting re-election. But politicians who passively conform to momentary poll results squander the opportunity to educate and inspire citizens to move toward the informed and considered equilibrium that deliberation has identified.

We called this project "World Wide Views on Global Warming" because there will be future World Wide Views on other global issues. The process is designed so that it can easily and economically expand to encompass every nation on the Earth.

Now that we've shown that it's possible to conduct democratic procedures on a global scale, the precedent is established. One can safely predict that we will see more initiatives to institutionalize democracy at the global level, and that there will be increasing challenges to all those extant global decision-making processes that continue the old pattern of excluding democratic engagement and considered popular opinion.

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    Richard Sclove wrote this article for YES! Magazine, a national, nonprofit media organization that fuses powerful ideas with practical actions. Richard is the U.S. advisor to World Wide Views on Global Warming and the Founder of the Loka Institute.

  

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Comments

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I'm curious, have the people

I'm curious, have the people of the world yet suffered any consequences of global warming? When will that happen? Please inform me!

Anonymous 18:38, it's like

Anonymous 18:38, it's like colon cancer once you see the blood, it's too late. Your skepticism perplexes me.

So "carefully considered

So "carefully considered judgement" means people's opinion after being brainwashed by climate alarmists. This means exactly nothing. Their judgment would be completely different if the poll followed exposure to balanced information. And, by the way, poor countries have benefited greatly from technology they did nothing to develop. Extreme world poverty has declined by 80% since 1970, and that has largely been fueled by cheap fossil fuel energy.

No one has suffered, because

No one has suffered, because the earth has been cooling since 2003. Visit GLOBAL COOLING for references from NASA, and MOAA.

According to the U.N.,

According to the U.N., 300,000 people currently die each year from the effects of global warming. If that isn't suffering the consequences, I don't know what is! In addition, people living in the far North are suffering quite a bit. The Native people are seeing the loss of the animals they live on and the ice they used to fish from. Melting permafrost is ruining many homes, buildings, roads, and so on. Rising sea levels are already threatening people in some island nations, with sea water flooding land where they used to grow food. Rising acidity in the oceans is killing coral reefs all over the world, drastically reducing the fish that can be caught. Tropical diseases are spreading towards the poles. Australia and the western U.S. are suffering more droughts and fires. Heat waves and the accompanying deaths are increasing in some years. This is just a sampling, but yes, global warming is definitely already affecting people.

Looks like the

Looks like the "progressives" are trying to pull another scam. The earth has been COOLING for almost the last decade - global warming caused by humans in a fraud. Humans are having no significant effect on climate cycles. You are wrong - get over it. Find something else to spin - you are running out of suckers for this one.

The UN's 300,000 figure is

The UN's 300,000 figure is derived from blaming everything in sight on global warming (and by "global warming" I assume you mean global warming caused by CO2). A few years ago alarmists were blaming Katrina on global warming, and now it is more than clear that there are no more hurricanes nor more intense hurricanes than normal for the historical pattern. Loss of northern animals is caused primarily by over-hunting. Sea level has been rising at approximately the same extremely slow rate for centuries, and in some areas the land is sinking. Corals became common in the oceans during the Ordovician Era when atmospheric CO2 levels were about 10X greater than they are today. It is a myth that malaria has not been known in temperate climates historically. More people die from cold than from heat. Climate has been slowly rising for centuries since the Maunder Minimum, with or without modern technology. I am sure that even without alarmism, it would be possible to find some people who have been adversely effected by those rising temperatures. However, it would be easy to find many, many more people who have benefited from fossil-fuel-enabled modern technology, including lives saved, and including those living in the developing world.

The earth is not cooling!

The earth is not cooling! There are always short periods of cooling or faster warming during a warming trend. The warming trend is continuing. Just watch, the next time we have a record hot year, the deniers will call THAT just an anomaly, or they'll ignore the global temperature and start trying to convince people that since it was a cold year in one location, that means global warming is not happening. These people are in serious, serious denial. It would be very funny if they weren't contributing so strongly to the inaction that will spell our doom if it does not stop very soon.

If you want to talk about

If you want to talk about the good things fossil fuels have brought us, you have to remember that almost all cancer can be traced to oil and other fossil fuels. Burning fossil fuels also causes asthma and many other diseases. Many millions of people have died in wars and other violent acts for control of oil resources. Also, the energy fossil fuels give us can come from sources that do not cause any of these bad side effects. So why would anyone fight to keep us addicted to them? The only logical reason is that these people work in the fossil fuel industry and are afraid of losing their jobs and too lazy to learn skills that would allow them to thrive in a green economy, or they are invested in the fossil fuel industry and afraid of losing all the profits they don't have to work for. They are willing to destroy life on earth for money.

We have just heard from the

We have just heard from the people on the front lines, the poor who will bear the brunt. All you skeptics: please get your heads out of your butts and look around. How many typhoons have hit the Philippines so far this year? True, all this bad weather may be part of a natural cycle but why take chances on destroying so much. If our activities can mitigate the change to any extent why not go ahead and act? Are we that addicted to our cushy,lazy and wasteful way of life that we are willing to sacrifice a lot of people to continues living a soft lif? I for one, am not.