"Drop Dead" Is Not an Option
Saturday 15 November 2008
by: Bob Herbert | The New York Times

(Photo: gas2.org)
The famous Daily News headline, "Ford to City: Drop Dead," ran on Oct. 30, 1975.
New York was on the verge of bankruptcy, and President Ford (who never actually said "drop dead") had made it clear, after listening to conservative hard-liners both inside and outside of his administration, that he planned to veto any federal rescue plan.
It was yet another case of the worshippers of abstract economic notions (let the markets run their infallible courses) ignoring the potential consequences of their smug certainties.
Felix Rohatyn, the financier who played such a large role in the city's economic recovery, has told me many times of the economic summit near Paris in November 1975 in which President ValΓ©ry Giscard d'Estaing of France and Chancellor Helmut Schmidt of West Germany explained to Mr. Ford that allowing New York to go bankrupt might well light the fuse to an international financial crisis and would foster the idea that America itself was no longer creditworthy.
Mr. Ford was persuaded that the cascading effects of a bankruptcy were potentially catastrophic and could not be risked. He relented. Loan guarantees were made; the city went through the long ordeal of getting its financial house in order; the loans were repaid; and New York not only recovered but thrived.
The city's fiscal crisis of the 1970s was in no way comparable in scale to the myriad crises facing the country right now. But it's still instructive. The ideological hard-liners have now cast their collectively jaundiced eye on Detroit's automakers. Their response to the very real danger that General Motors might crumble into bankruptcy is: C'est la vie.
Unlike President Ford, Senator Richard Shelby, a Republican of Alabama - to cite just one example - is not troubled by thoughts of cascading effects, such as the toll of domino-like business failures and swelling unemployment moving like a toxic virus through an economy that is already ill.
"The financial situation facing the Big Three is not a national problem, but their own problem," he said.
Whoa!
I can agree that it's impossible to make a positive case for the backward, self-destructive practices of the auto industry over many years. (Just as it was difficult to defend the practices that led to New York's fiscal crisis.) But in the current environment, allowing one or more of the Big Three to go bankrupt would be like offering up your nose to Sweeney Todd to spite your face.
It's not just General Motors or Chrysler or Ford. The U.S. auto industry is the cornerstone of American manufacturing. It supports millions of jobs, directly or indirectly, in a vast array of businesses.
Start with the thousands of parts in each vehicle. They are produced by suppliers across the country, from one coast to the other. Those supplies have to be manufactured, packaged and transported. Truck drivers, railway systems and shipping companies are involved.
And, of course, there are dealers everywhere. And the auto repair industry. And the insurance industry. And vast systems of advertising supporting every kind of job you can imagine, from messengers to accountants to filmmakers and beyond. All of that advertising funnels absolutely crucial revenues to television, magazines, newspapers - you name it.
If G.M., which is on life support, or Ford or Chrysler were to go bankrupt, the reverberations would kill the jobs of entire armies of American workers. It would undermine the standard of living of hundreds of thousands of families and shutter the entrances of untold numbers of small and intermediate businesses.
Senator Shelby might want to do some homework before embarrassing himself again with the absurd comment that the crisis facing the Big Three is not a national problem.
Gov. Jennifer Granholm of Michigan, a state that is already writhing in pain from the auto industry's troubles, would tell Mr. Shelby that the industry "supports 1 in every 10 jobs in the country."
It's easy to demonize the American auto industry. It has behaved with the foresight of a crack addict for years. But even when people set their own houses on fire, we still dial 9-1-1, hoping to save lives, salvage what we can and protect the rest of the neighborhood.
This whole matter needs some intensive thought. At the moment, Washington has tremendous leverage over the failing auto industry. The government should craft a rescue plan that is both tough and very, very smart. That means dragging the industry (kicking and screaming, no doubt) into the 21st century by insisting on ironclad commitments to design and develop vehicles that make sense economically and that serve the nation's long-term energy security requirements.
What I would like to see is creative thinking on both ends of the bargain. Let the smartest minds design a bailout that sparks a creative revolution in the industry. Think of it as project synergy.



Comments
This is a moderated forum. Β It may take a little while for comments to go live. Be civil and on-topic, don't threaten or advocate violence, please keep it under 300 words. Thanks for participating.
Well, I am no fan of
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 15:04 β Andrew (not verified)Let them sink. The US is
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 15:21 β Sean (not verified)There's a reason I bought a
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 15:32 β l.D. Freitas (not verified)Every living system has its
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 15:35 β Look1 (not verified)Neo-con thinking insists on
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 15:52 β Anonymous (not verified)"More and more the
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 15:57 β Anonymous (not verified)People aren't buying enough
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 15:58 β Anonymous (not verified)I'd have a lot more respect
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 16:05 β Anonymous (not verified)I hate the auto management &
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 16:20 β Bob Millar (not verified)I hate Prius'! They are the
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 16:27 β Anonymous (not verified)Lets end racism now and
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 16:29 β melvin polatnick (not verified)CARS. The automakers have
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 17:14 β MMGreen (not verified)I hate to see more tax
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 17:17 β Anonymous (not verified)What is needed is controlled
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 17:30 β Devon Noll, MPA (not verified)I'd say let them sink,
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 17:34 β Anonymous (not verified)Very well said, tight
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 17:41 β Dee (not verified)The big three have made
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 18:20 β radline9 (not verified)drop dead IS the only
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 18:31 β Anonymous (not verified)Too big to fail is the basic
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 18:36 β frank1569 (not verified)Many, many years ago, before
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 18:42 β Rose (not verified)Old technology, old economy.
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 20:00 β Bisbonian (not verified)I think we can say the same
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 20:11 β mikeAnonymous (not verified)Let them sink and we all
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 20:21 β SlidingHomeInOregon (not verified)During WWII the auto
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 20:47 β christine (not verified)Richard Shelby WANTS the
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 20:49 β brian (not verified)"Wealth unaccompanied by
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 21:26 β nora (not verified)Back in the Fifties, my
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 21:30 β peterjkraus (not verified)Don't forget - without the
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 22:09 β Anonymous (not verified)Sometimes it takes a
Sun, 11/16/2008 - 23:52 β Anonymous (not verified)Many jobs could be retained
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 01:24 β Anonymous (not verified)Can not beleive that the
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 02:52 β vincent CharlesAnonymous (not verified)There's an assumption, made
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 03:37 β MyLeftOne (not verified)To Mr. Herbert - You should
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 06:38 β Anonymous (not verified)If the Reality of 1 in 10
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 11:42 β Judy (not verified)First the management has to
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 12:36 β Stefan Albrecht (not verified)The Phoenix cannot rise from
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 12:43 β Steve Newcomb (not verified)The GOP sees this as an
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 13:03 β mike39vt (not verified)ROSE: Any idea why the
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 16:23 β jpoverseas (not verified)In 1988, I pulled the fan
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 18:01 β lilFactoid (not verified)America's financial house is
Mon, 11/17/2008 - 22:46 β Fr Tothus (not verified)The fairy tale that free
Tue, 11/18/2008 - 06:12 β ben sobin (not verified)JPOVEREEDS: Exceptionally
Tue, 11/18/2008 - 14:54 β Rose (not verified)After years of going on a
Wed, 11/19/2008 - 16:43 β melvin polatnick (not verified)The industry will receive
Wed, 11/19/2008 - 17:44 β cheaptalker (not verified)It's time for a great
Fri, 11/21/2008 - 03:04 β Jruss (not verified)Great work Bob. Basic
Fri, 11/21/2008 - 04:45 β Anonymous (not verified)