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A Consensus Emerges: Build, and Build Big

by: Eric Lotke  |  The Campaign for America's Future

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The Obama administration is being urged to pursue stimulus plans focused on infrastructure and jobs. (Photo: California High-Speed Rail Authority)

    Everybody is saying the same thing. Stimulus plans don't mean tax rebates worth a few tanks of gas and a restaurant dinner. Stimulus plans means new roads and bridges, aid to states so they won't lay off nurses and teaching assistants, and a down payment on a new energy economy with windmills and commuter rail.

    Most importantly, people have turned the corner on money. Stimulus will take real money, measured in hundreds of billions of dollars and percents of GDP. Low estimates put the investment at $300 billion. High ones reach $700 billion. Paul Krugman, with his hot new Nobel prize in economics, recommends "figure out how much help [you] think the economy needs, then add 50 percent."

    The former but not future Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers has changed his tune. No longer should stimulus be "targeted, timely and temporary." Now it should be "speedy, substantial and sustained." If he changes the first S to "strategic," he'll sound just like the Campaign for America's Future. "Strategic" points towards energy and education, investments that pay back over time.

    Increasingly, even the deficit hawks recognize that this is not the time to worry about deficits. This is the time for action. To paraphrase FDR, when the house is burning, you don't fret about the cost of the hose.

    Over the weekend, president-elect Barack Obama started to define what the New York Times labeled a Vast Economic Stimulus Plan.

"We'll be working out the details in the weeks ahead, but it will be a two-year, nationwide effort to jumpstart job creation in America and lay the foundation for a strong and growing economy. We'll put people back to work rebuilding our crumbling roads and bridges, modernizing schools that are failing our children, and building wind farms and solar panels, fuel-efficient cars and the alternative energy technologies that can free us from our dependence on foreign oil and keep our economy competitive in the years ahead."

    He is exactly right, and he's been saying this since the campaign.

    In June he told the U.S. conference of Mayors:

"Now is not the time for small plans. Now is the time for bold action to rebuild and renew America. We've done this before. Two hundred years ago, in 1808, Thomas Jefferson oversaw an infrastructure plan that envisioned the Homestead Act, the transcontinental railroads, and the Erie Canal. One hundred years later, in 1908, Teddy Roosevelt called together leaders from business and government to develop a plan for a 20th century infrastructure. Today, in 2008, it falls on us to take up this call again - to re-imagine America's landscape and remake America's future. That is the cause of this campaign, and that will be the cause of my presidency."

    Back then he was estimating expenditures in the $150 billion range - and nowadays that's rounding error. But back then the Dow was at 12,000 and 1.5 million more people had jobs. It's nice to see him up the ante.

    The American people are behind this too. A June survey by Hart Research showed a country that wants more than quick stimulus. Nearly two-thirds (63 percent) of voters think the economy is facing "long-term, structural economic problems." Only one-third (30 percent) say it is a "short-term economic downturn."

    Investing in physical infrastructure is among the most popular of long-term solutions. A June survey by Rockefeller Foundation found 82 percent support for "increasing government spending on things like public-works projects to help create jobs." Reconstruction will take time and exceed the limits of a single budget cycle - but for long term solutions to long term problems, you don't "pay as you go." You invest over time.

    We discussed all of this last week at our conference on Real Investment in America. I wrote all about it in our snazzy new report, The Investment Deficit.

    Build, baby, build. The consensus is emerging.

  

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Comments

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Consensus to harm nature

Consensus to harm nature with increased consumption is a form of group-think suicide, it is a mistake fabricated by those who still believe it is possible to grow to infinity on a finite planet. Windmills, solar power, education and health are among many important investments long overlooked or actively ignored and left to compete with subsidized industries like oil, plastics and automobiles. Another consensus is that economic collapse is caused by increased entropic friction and that the only possible correction is to reduce economic activity and increase justice with all of nature, including humans. For example: Breast cancer is up 300% since the 1960's, it's an awful way to go; if men won't face the agonizing pain of simple numbers, then it's up to women who know breasts are involved with specie survival. A booming economy that creates increasing breast cancer yields specie suicide. Sorry about that, Garrett

If our government will

If our government will invest in our country our country will come back, but private money is not going to do it; they have sold us down the river for short term financialization profit --- it will have to be government investment. Conservatives have NO INNOVATION. Right now our nation needs innovation.

http://www.road-scholar.org

http://www.road-scholar.org - Peak Traffic: Planning NAFTA Superhighways at the End of the Age of Oil - by Mark Robinowitz - We can choose as a society to either expand the highway system some more (NAFTA Superhighways, more Outer Beltways and bypasses, etc) or focus on making sure that the existing network can be maintained after Peak Oil. Unfortunately, few politicians highlight the need to make AMTRAK a serious transportation system for efficiently moving people. A national priority for quality train service would create a lot of good jobs, reduce energy consumption, and make it more likely that the United States will be able to mitigate the inevitable impacts of the end of the petroleum era. It is likely that about $1 trillion has been spent to destroy the nation of Iraq (if preparations for the conflict are included), home to the planet's second largest oil reserves. This is more than half of the cost that has been estimated for rebuilding the tens of thousands of deficient highway bridges that are aging and becoming dangerous. There are several serious - but languishing - proposals for high speed rail in the United States that would be similar to European and Asian networks. Building all of them would probably cost less than the money spent on the War on Iraq.

Build baby build but

Build baby build but evironmentally smart! So far our civilisation seems to have built itself into a "dead"end of frenetic consummerism, conspicuous consumption and disposable unbiodegradable waste. Sickness is out of control in the industrialized worlds both physical (cancer...) and psychological (take your pick). If there is to be a big push towards spending to "kickstart" the economy it must be done on a totally new level : a "holistic" structural change in politicus that aims at an integration of the human into and with the planet in a "natural" way. Progress is beckonning and development is bountyless in those directions (for it would also lead to a further space push - the final frontier - ) and what seems impossibly finite now will reveal itself to be of the nature of the flat earth theory : there is plenty of room to expand but we have never tried to do it but in one manner and in one direction. The limits to, or I should rather say OUR limits are not even remotely comprehended but they sure as hell won't be explored if we keep doing buisness within the same old mindset.

Lubbock,Tx,tore up its train

Lubbock,Tx,tore up its train rails to install a super-high-hiway- system-a-la-Dallas-style-while planning for future growth. Not to say this was not needed,but why trash the exisitng rails and not integrate both existing systems efficiently?

Infrastructure building is

Infrastructure building is good but will not fix the problem of a shrinking middle class income which is the backbone of our consumer economy. The problem is that industry here must deal with fair labor laws, Safety regulations, environmental laws and provide health care. We cannot compete with the sweat shops who poison children working dangerous job, and we should not trade with countries that do. China and Mexico are supposed to be fixing these problems but they are doing nothing. Until they fix their work environment, we need to tariff their goods. Sure cheap plastic crap at Malmart seems like a bargain until the loss of good jobs kills off the middle class completely

We need to rethink

We need to rethink everything. We have a great opportunity to reshape the 21st century. The problem is the special interests that still control congress. We are not going forward if the stimulus is just a jobs program. I've survived as a small businessman for forty years by having products that people want to buy.The US no longer produces products that the world wants to buy. The Finance sector will never recover and the now going on 9 trillion dollars of guareetees is just the beginning of the bailout they are demanding. Many Titalnics need to go down to rid us of the poor decisions of the last two decades. Is Obama up to this, no way, not with Summers and Gitner. Wall Street controls the Dems and congress. Frank and Dodd have no idea of how to compete in the 21st century. Micheal Moore make more sense. Getting on the right track is going to take time. Too many people are lining up at the bailout trough. Ugly situation. No ones gone to jail yet for all the fraud. I'm predicting total meltdown of our country because the greedy still rule. Unless massive change happens, Obama's change was only a slogan, the good ole USA will bleed until it's crippled for decades.