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After the Housing Bill: Time to Address Foreclosures

by: Dean Baker, t r u t h o u t | Perspective

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Dean Baker estimates that there are likely to be 2.5 million to 3 million foreclosures in both 2008 and 2009. (Photo: Reuters)

    Last week Congress finally passed its long-debated housing bill. In addition to securing the multimillion-dollar salaries of the top executives of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and protecting their shareholders from facing the full consequences of their bad stock picks, the bill also provided funds for guaranteeing new mortgages for homeowners facing foreclosure.

    The bill allows lenders to bring failing mortgages to the Federal Housing Authority (FHA), which will guarantee a new mortgage at 85 percent of the current appraised value of the home. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that lenders will bring 400,000 mortgages to the FHA over the next three years. CBO expects that 140,000 of these mortgages will go into foreclosure a second time, leaving a net of 260,000 homeowners who will hang onto their homes as a result of this program.

    By contrast, there are likely to be 2.5 million to 3 million foreclosures in both 2008 and 2009. This means that the housing bill will likely help less than five percent of the families facing foreclosure over the next two years, leaving 95 percent of this group out of luck.

    Fortunately, there is something very simple that Congress can do if it actually wants to help families facing foreclosure. Representative RaÅ“l Grijalva has proposed a bill, the Saving Family Homes Act, which would allow many of these homeowners to stay in their homes. It requires no taxpayer dollars and no new government bureaucracy, and it can begin to protect homeowners as soon as the bill is approved by Congress.

    The bill temporarily alters the rules on foreclosures. It allows homeowners facing foreclosure the option to stay in their home as renters paying the fair market rent. They would be allowed to remain in their home for up to 20 years. The bill would only apply to homes that were purchased for less than the median price in the area. This ensures that it only benefits those most in need of help, rather than millionaires who made bad bets in the housing market.

    There are two main benefits from this proposal. First, it will provide housing security to millions of homeowners who would otherwise be forced out on the street. If a family is happy with their home - they like the neighborhood and the schools - they would have the option to remain there as renters. This prevents the property from standing vacant, which is a benefit to both their neighbors and the local government.

    The second benefit is that it is likely to lead to a situation in which many of these families will be able to stay in their home as homeowners. By giving homeowners the option to remain in their home as renters, the Grijalva bill changes the calculation for lenders seeking foreclosures. Banks will no longer have the option to use the foreclosure process to throw families on the street and then resell the vacant house.

    Instead, banks will face the prospect of having a long-term tenant. In general, banks are not interested in becoming landlords, so this will not be an attractive option. Banks will of course still be able to sell the foreclosed property, but the former homeowner would still have the right to remain as a tenant. And a property with a tenant attached will command a much lower price than a vacant home.

    In short, the Grijalva bill makes foreclosure a much-less-attractive option for banks. It provides them with a real incentive to try to work out a new payment schedule with homeowners that will allow them to remain in their homes as owners.

    Since the change in rules on foreclosure is temporary and limited, it should have only a minimal effect on lenders' willingness to make new loans in the future. Furthermore, if it raises concerns in the future among lenders over the risks of making loans in a bubble environment, then this would be a further benefit of the bill.

    The structure of the bill is designed so that the beneficiaries will be overwhelmingly moderate-income families and actual homeowners. A speculator will not benefit from the option to stay in a home as a long-term tenant paying the fair market rent.

    So, if Congress is interested in helping homeowners after its heroic efforts on behalf of Fannie and Freddie's shareholders and management, it can approve the Grijalva bill. It would almost certainly do more to protect homeownership than the bill passed last week.

  

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Dean Baker is the Co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research. CEPR's Jobs Byte is published each month upon release of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' employment report.

Comments

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Included in this sad 600

Included in this sad 600 page bill is also that from now on all credit card purchases will have to be reported to IRS and that mortgage lenders have to get fingerprinted for their job... 1984 New World Order fascism is sneaking along just fine and nobody in USA seems to notice it. Nobody other than Dr. Ron Paul that is. Watch his comments to the bill on youTube.

Did anyone really expect

Did anyone really expect that this bailout had anything to do with homeowners. It is just the final step in the plan to steal as much from the middle class as possible. see: "Their plan is near completion. (7/14/2008)" http://blog.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=blog.listAll&friendID=295188204&startID=415650867&StartPostedDate=2008-07-17%2008:55:00&next=1&page=1&Mytoken=C8A13232-9824-4BA7-B4D02BE563377469242242997

Its all a Joke....Prices are

Its all a Joke....Prices are going to drop another 50% over the next FEW Years..And if we attack Iran that will be the STRAW that breaks the CAMEL'S BACK.............

This will also help the

This will also help the economy more than so-called "stimulus checks." Without consumers there is no economy. Unless the government helps those who have been swindled and gets some real money back into their hands there will be no recovery from this economic crisis. No bailouts for the rich--they got us into this mess. Help the victims, not the swindlers.

What of the constitutional

What of the constitutional provision that says, "Congress shall pass no law impairing the obligation of contracts"?

-Ron Paul can't compete with

-Ron Paul can't compete with a snowball in hell. Wasted vote. -Robert Reichsaid- Cut the payroll taxes now and have an immediate economic stimulus without the bureaucracy lard. -The gov't. should make the banking industry roll on this and accept this bill. Everyone's at fault here, but, you have to have a con going in order to attract the rubes into these ludicrous mortgage deals. The cons are the banking and finance industry. Stick them where it hurts. Their greed and the lack of regulation is a major cause of the wreckage of the economy.

Any funds sent to Fannie and

Any funds sent to Fannie and Freddie should be sent via the mortgage accounts of every mortgage in the U.S. that is on a resident's primary residence. Pay down every mortgage in the U.S. by a set amount, say $100,000. This would give Freddie and Fannie the capital to stay afloat and it would increase the wealth of millions of families by $100,000, putting real money in the hands of real people. This would also result in increased tax receipts at the IRS because home mortgage interest is deductable, and with mortgages down, those deductions would disappear, further reducing debt by lower in the Federal Deficit, which would strengthen the dollar, making everyone richer again. What is wrong with that idea?

We've been writing about the

We've been writing about the economy and the foreclosure crisis over at the CA NOW blog: http://www.canow.org/canoworg/2008/07/its-still-the-e.html Living in one of the states hit hardest by the housing market collapse, and with a state budget crisis that seems unlikely to be balanced without cutting services to the needy, we're really seeing the toll this is taking on working families.

http://fedupusa.org

http://fedupusa.org

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