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Automakers Race Time as Their Cash Runs Low

by: Bill Vlasic  |  Visit article original @ The New York Times

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General Motors is scaling back on SUV models and may discontinue manufacturing the Hummer due to low sales. (Photo: Mark Lennihan / AP)

    Detroit - The downturn in the American auto industry is rapidly becoming a full-blown fight for survival among Detroit's big automakers.

    With the combination of high gas prices and a weak economy crippling vehicle sales, the resources of General Motors and the Ford Motor Company are being stretched to the limit.

    Both companies have undergone major revampings in recent years, yet they continue to post huge losses. And even as they burn through their cash reserves and slash more costs to stay afloat, the future looks tenuous.

    In the latest sign of the deepening troubles, G.M. reported a stunning second-quarter loss of $15.5 billion on Friday because of a continuing fall in United States sales and charges for job cuts, plant closings and the falling value of trucks and sport utility vehicles.

    That followed a loss of $8.7 billion reported last week by Ford. Overall sales fell by 13 percent in July.

    Chrysler, the smallest of the three Detroit auto companies, is privately owned by Cerberus Capital Management and does not report financial results.

    The losses stem from a freefall in sales and a shift by consumers away from bigger vehicles that were once G.M.'s and Ford's most profitable products.

    G.M. and Ford had expected economic conditions to improve in the second half of this year, but now are forecasting an even more dismal sales environment.

    Neither company appears in immediate danger of failure. But analysts say Detroit is in a race against time.

    "Things are pretty bad, and the river is getting deeper, faster and wider," said David Cole, chairman of the Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Mich. "The question is, can they get to other side before the cash runs out?"

    American automakers have decided - critics would say, belatedly - to shift production from trucks and sport utility vehicles to smaller, more gas-efficient cars, including hybrids. But it takes time to switch equipment for production. And it is unclear whether the automakers have sufficient cash to remain solvent until their new vehicle lines are ready for customers.

    The overall United States auto industry is headed for its worst year in more than a decade. Sales so far this year have fallen 10 percent from 2007, including a 13 percent decline in the month of July.

    The market has been tough for nearly every automaker including Toyota, whose sales fell 11.9 percent in July. But the Detroit companies have been hit the hardest.

    Sales at G.M. dropped 26.1 percent in July, 14.7 percent at Ford, and 28.8 percent at Chrysler. And the three companies' combined United States market share hit an all-time low of about 43 percent during the month.

    G.M. ended the quarter with $21 billion in cash reserves, which would be considered a healthy financial cushion in normal times.

    But the automaker is burning through more than $1 billion in cash each month, a worrisome indicator that has prompted some investors to speculate about the potential for G.M. to go bankrupt. One indication of a loss of faith is that the company's bonds were trading on Friday at 48 cents on the dollar.

    Trying to fight such doubts on Wall Street and elsewhere, Rick Wagoner, G.M.'s chairman, last month outlined a broad program of cost cuts, asset sales and debt offerings intended to increase the company's liquidity by $15 billion.

    The moves temporarily calmed fears on Wall Street about a possible bankruptcy filing, and injected a renewed sense of urgency among G.M. executives.

    Compounding Detroit's problems is the rush by consumers to buy small cars and the collapse in sales of pickups and sport utility vehicles that historically provided the bulk of the profits at G.M., Ford and Chrysler.

    Ford last week announced that it would radically shift much of its North American production from trucks to cars, and bring six of its European models to the United States market.

    G.M. had already laid plans to make more cars and car-based crossover vehicles, while downsizing its truck production.

    But the question facing Detroit is how it can continue to finance its operations and product programs until the market rebounds and its new models hit the showrooms.

    "This is almost like evolution, and the survival of the fittest," said Jesse Toprak, chief industry analyst for the automobile research Web site Edmunds.com. "They are on the right path to make fuel-efficient cars, but it's going to take time."

    G.M., Ford and Chrysler have already gone through wrenching revampings and eliminated more than 100,000 manufacturing jobs in the United States since 2006.

    The three companies are also in the process of cutting about 10,000 salaried workers from their payrolls this year.

    But even as they shrink their employment and close unneeded factories, the automakers still need enormous capital budgets to develop new products. G.M. and Ford have also invested heavily to build their businesses in global markets like China, Brazil and India.

    And while they have successfully expanded their international operations, Detroit is paying a heavy price for relying on trucks and S.U.V.'s in the United States.

    Sales of truck-based products have fallen 23 percent this year at G.M. and 19 percent at Ford. Both companies have drastically cut production of those vehicles, and temporarily laid off thousands of workers to reduce inventories.

    However, the companies have been forced to take big financial charges to account for the declining value of used S.U.V.'s coming off leases. Chrysler is dropping leases entirely and G.M. and Ford will be scaling back their lease programs. Analysts said the pullback on leases, which helped fuel the growth of the market previously, could further hurt sales going forward.

    G.M.'s quarterly loss reported Friday, the third-worst in its 100-year history, encapsulated the range of troubles it faces.

    The company's revenues in North America declined by a third, and it lost $4.4 billion on operations. Because of the decline in profitable truck sales, G.M.'s revenue-per-unit sold dropped almost $4,000 from the first quarter of this year.

    The company also took write-downs of $9.1 billion. Included in the charges were $3.3 billion to buy out 19,000 of its hourly workers and $2.8 billion related to the bankruptcy of Delphi, its former parts-making division.

    "I do not see any panic here," Ray Young, G.M.'s chief financial officer, said in an interview Friday. "I do see more of a resolve. We need to take these actions and focus on what we can control."

    Frederick A. Henderson, G.M.'s president, said the company was accelerating plans to bring more fuel-efficient vehicles to market. The key, he said, was to increase G.M.'s sales and revenues as quickly as possible.

    "The most important thing we need to do is rebuild our revenue base," Mr. Henderson said. "We understand the market is decidedly weaker, but it is what it is."

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The Auto Makers would have

The Auto Makers would have been better served if they had taken their eyes off the huge profits they were so accustomed to pocketing ... and noted what the rest of the world were building for Their customers. Did they really believe that the gas was going to be always available and affordable to power the gas guzzlers they kept putting out ? Where was their common sense ? They should have re-tooled after the last gas shortage scare over two decades ago. Or did they believe the bill of goods that this Administration was shoveling out back in 2000, immediately after Bush was selected. I would bet that an auto maker or two attended Cheney's Oil Summit where he was spouting off about all the Oil He Was Going To Cause to come pouring into this country....after the Iraqis welcomed us with flowers, of course. I was told never to count my chickens before they hatched...but I guess that is a bit of advice that is not taught anymore.

Keep shipping those high

Keep shipping those high paying jobs to countries where workers make a couple of bucks a day.When you eliminate the middle class who is left to buy the middle class products GM and Ford makes?

after all Cheney said

after all Cheney said conservation is for sissies. so the Big 3 should just man it through. They are just being sissies. Americans have a god-given right to guzzle. Isn't that what the Declaration of Independence says. Isn't that what Graham just said too: whiners. What are we fighting a war for anyway, so some rag heads and pinkos can tell us what to drive and what to build and what to sell. God Bless America. Up the SUV.

GM needs to reintroduce

GM needs to reintroduce their Chevette & Isuzu / Luv truck line along with a small wagon like the 1978-1982 Subaru GL Wagon & Hatchback..they are already tooled for these vehicles that sell or would for under $5k while getting 35-50mpg factory Dodge needs to go back to strictly military and Ford needs to go back on the farm with International Harvester and it would not hurt a thing to reintroduce the Willy`s Jeep line with the 226ci flathead 6cyl "hurricane" engine in a 1 ton 4x4 pickup truck with a factory one barrel carburetor that literally dumped fuel out the tailpipe like a garden hose! This vehicle still got 18 mpg & putting a 2 barrel Mikuni carb like GM used on their Luv trucks on that 226 hurricane & you`d get 36 mpg!

The hummer looks like a

The hummer looks like a dynasour to me and always has. Same for the RV. The whole idea of carrying a house around the country is ludicrous on the face of it. Who every, manufacturer or consumer, reasonably would consider that there was any future to these gas guzzlers. I am ready to say now, there is no future to the car as we know it. Get a Bike or scooter or take the bus. Leave car use to taxis.

They laid off their workers

They laid off their workers (customers) and began exploiting other nations' workers for profit, keeping their wages too low to buy their product. How stupid was that? Of course, the main object is to reduce workers to peonage or worse, with all social programs collapsed for lack of funding, leaving a nation of desperate people who do what such folks have always done: attack other workers. This time, its immigrants, before it was the Italians, Germans, Irish. People are conditioned not to attack those who victimize them: corporations, and the government helps by demonizing the another group of workers

American automakers are

American automakers are short-sighted. They learned nothing from the gas crisis of the 1970s, and thought that they could continue to market huge gas guzzlers to stupid Americans. The party is over. Gas hasn't been 25¢ a gallon since the 1950s... I have no pity for the companies, but much empathy for the common autoworker.

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