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Home Prices Fall in May; Consumer Confidence Is Flat

by: Michael M. Grynbaum  |  The New York Times

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Foreclosures surge as the home price index drops more than 15 percent. (Photo: Getty Images)

    Two trouble spots in the economy showed little sign of improvement in the last few months, as home prices fell again in May and consumer confidence stagnated in July, according to a pair of reports out Tuesday.

    Home prices, already falling at the steepest rate in two decades, tumbled again in May, according to the Case-Shiller index, a widely watched survey that measures prices in 20 major metropolitan areas.

    Prices were down 15.8 percent from May 2007, including a 0.9 percent one-month drop in May alone. The 10-city price index, which dates to 1988, dropped 16.9 percent, its sharpest decline on record.

    All 20 cities measured by the index showed annual declines in home values, and 10 cities have suffered double-digit percentage declines in the last year. Miami and Las Vegas have fared the worst, with prices in each city dropping more than 28 percent since May 2007.

    There were some signs that the decline has started to abate. Prices in seven regions, including Boston, Dallas and Charlotte, improved in May, some for the second straight month. Boston, for example, was up 1.05 percent in May, though values are still 6.2 percent below where they were a year prior.

    The report "does seem to suggest the rate of decline of existing home prices is slowing," Ian Shepherdson of High Frequency Economics wrote in a note. "To be sure, prices are still falling very rapidly, and there is no prospect of any rebound this year and probably next, but a slower rate of fall is welcome nonetheless."

    Las Vegas, Miami and Phoenix had the sharpest declines in May, with Miami losing 3.6 percent. The city recorded a 28.3 percent price drop for the last 12 months.

    Another month of falling home values may continue to put pressure on investors who are concerned the housing crisis is fueling the credit problems on Wall Street. Last week, a dip in sales of newly built homes helped lead to a sharp decline in the stock market.

    In a separate report on Tuesday, the Conference Board, a private research group, said that Americans remained unhappy about the state of their economy in July, though their confidence did not change markedly from a month prior.

    The group's consumer confidence index rose to 51.9 from 51 in June, and a measure of expectations about the economy's prospects rose to 43 from 41.4. Those figures are historically very low.

    "It is not a particularly good sign that consumer confidence and sentiment levels remain as low as they are, even after almost $100 billion of tax rebates have hit consumer's wallets in the past several months," Joshua Shapiro, the chief domestic economic at MFR, said in a note.

    The Conference Board sends its questionnaire to 5,000 households.

  

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We've been doing a lot of

We've been doing a lot of writing about the economy over at the CA NOW blog: http://www.canow.org/canoworg/economics/ Living in one of the states that has been hardest hit by the housing collapse, and with a state budget crisis that is unlikely t be resolved without decreasing services for the needy (at a time when the population of "needy" is growing) we are really seeing the impact.

"It is not a particularly

"It is not a particularly good sign that consumer confidence and sentiment levels remain as low as they are, even after almost $100 billion of tax rebates have hit consumer's wallets in the past several months." And still the Republicans' sole economic mantra is: more tax cuts!

As a child I played with

As a child I played with worthless mining, railroad, and other stocks. My paternal grandfather described fist hand the incidents related in Grapes of Wrath-men from Oklahoma and other displaced people were willing to work the fields for 10 cents a day. The Californians had been getting 25 cents a day. The two groups of men fought one another viciously with farm implements while the owners watched these desperate men struggling to feed their families. "The pump don't work 'cause the vandals took the handle". B. Dylan

It’s really hard for us

It’s really hard for us to accept this fact, after hitting our pockets because of this tax rebate yet, consumer confidence remains in the same level. This only shows that we can’t clash the problem with just one alternative. Hopefully, the new plan under the Barack Obama administration, which will first put the economic stimulus and job-creation package to the test, will be a better way to stimulate the economy. He is proposing a tax cut and a program he calls Making Work Pay. We know that the movements under the current administration seem to be hurting instead of helping the economy. Although we may not know exactly what the outcome will be, we should not shy away from trying out a new plan. There are signs that we may be coming out of the recession. All we need is something to provide that boost we urgently need. Hopefully this approach will restore consumer confidence and bigger paychecks on payday so you won't need to take out a payday loan.