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Poll: Biden Better Prepared

by: Steven Thomma  |  Visit article original @ McClatchy Newspapers

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Poll shows voters think Joe Biden is better prepared to be President than Sarah Palin. (Photo: Getty Images)

    Washington - John McCain and Barack Obama head into the fall campaign neck and neck, despite questions in many voters' minds about whether McCain's running mate is as qualified as Obama's, according to a new Ipsos/McClatchy poll.

    The national poll finds Republican McCain with the support of 46 percent of registered voters and Democrat Obama with 45 percent. The survey has an error margin of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

    Independent candidate Ralph Nader has 2 percent, and Libertarian candidate Bob Barr 1 percent. Another 6 percent were undecided or didn't support any of those choices.

    "The race has tightened," said Clifford Young, senior vice president of Ipsos Public Affairs, which conducted the poll Sept. 5-9, its first since the two major-party conventions kicked off the fall general-election campaign.

    "McCain got a very good bump from his convention and now it's a real race."

    Bounces up in polls immediately following conventions are no guarantee of victory in November. Candidates who got higher post-convention poll bounces than their opponents and went on to lose include Barry Goldwater in 1964, Jimmy Carter in 1980, Walter Mondale in 1984, and Michael Dukakis in 1988, according to a study by Karlyn Bowman of the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank in Washington.

    With the Obama-McCain race so close less than two months until the election, several factors could prove pivotal in coming weeks, including how the two campaigns do in winning the support of the roughly 15 percent of voters who could go either way, and how well Sarah Palin, McCain's running mate, does in assuring doubters that she's up to the job.

    The poll finds that registered voters continue to wonder whether Palin, a first-term Alaska governor, is as qualified to step up to the job of president as Obama's running mate, Joe Biden, who's been in the Senate for more than three decades.

    A majority of voters, 60 percent, think that Biden is qualified to be president, while 31 percent think he is not.

    By comparison, 48 percent of voters think Palin is qualified, while 44 percent think she is not.

    "While Palin has electrified the base, her overall appeal is less than Biden's," Young said.

    On issues, McCain leads on foreign policy and national security. Obama leads on jobs and the economy, health care and representing change.

    Voters split almost evenly on which is a better leader. "Neither has been able to dominate on that," Young said.

    At stake for all the candidates are the roughly one in six voters still up for grabs, a total that includes those still undecided and those who still could change their minds about Obama or McCain.

    Among McCain supporters who are registered voters, 77 percent said they'd definitely vote for him; 13 percent said they'd probably vote for him, and 10 percent said they still could change their minds.

    Among Obama supporters, 80 percent said they'd "definitely" vote for him; 12 percent said they'd "probably" vote for him; and 8 percent said they could still change their mind.

    McCain leads 57 percent to 34 percent among non-Hispanic whites, and by 53 percent to 38 percent among voters age 55 and older.

    Obama leads among voters age 18 to 34 by a margin of 55 percent to 34 percent, among non-Hispanic blacks by 90 percent to 3 percent, and among Hispanics by 58 percent to 34 percent.

    They are in a dead heat among voters age 35 to 54.

    Methodology:

    The Ipsos\McClatchy poll was conducted Sept. 5-9, 2008.

    For the survey, a nationally representative, randomly selected sample of 1,018 adults across the U.S. was interviewed by Ipsos. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate within 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population in the U.S. been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population.

    Within this sample, Ipsos interviewed 876 respondents who self identified as registered voters. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate within 3.3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population in the U.S. been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population.

    These data were weighted to ensure the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual U.S. population according to data from the U.S. Census.

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Comments

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Wow! 48% of voters must

Wow! 48% of voters must think the job of VP comes with training wheels - and no assembly required.

OK, I didn't even read this

OK, I didn't even read this article, (yet). But, we already know, barring some huge screw up on Palin's part, that the media and the "public" can already be "reliably" polled to determine the winner of this debate: Palin. I mean, come on: Biden just looks like an old Senator, even if he can string complex sentences together. Palin is way more ready to win early 21st century politics! Actually, the debates are the one place where maybe Obama might make some public showing against McCain, but Barack is going to have to dumb it down. Plus McCain will have some good dirty tricks and spin and framing ready...

It makes you wonder what

It makes you wonder what people think is involved in government? Is it that easy to be prez, is it that easy to be "leader of the (formerly) free world"? I guess the public gets what it deserves.

That 48% is just not up to

That 48% is just not up to date on the news about Palin's "experience."

All these polls stir up

All these polls stir up anxieties or encouragement, but they pale in comparison with the actual views of the candidates. We've been subjected to a tsunami of politico-celebrity garbage about Palin, McCain drones on as usual on TV every day. Less often, Obama punts back and gives us hope for change, and the sensation crazed media have BURIED Biden. Maybe his polling numbers are favorable, but he seems to have disappeared from the scene. Is he still alive? Or haven't the medias so much as even bothered to report his obituary ? Tell the media to bring him back. We wanna hear from him. And give us a break. Forget about Palin for a spell.

This is testament to the

This is testament to the majority that constitutes the unthinking American public, one that is mesmerized by the media and believes the crap that passes for news. Without Truthout and Common Dreams where we would be? Biden, yes could be President and likely would do a fine job. Palin would send this country into a tailspin that could well spell annihilation, and at the very least into a state from which we may never return. She would take the Bush years and extrapolate to make them Armageddon. She is completely and utterly illogical, caught up in her delusion of how she sees the world. A very scary woman, indeed. The world is at risk. Wake Up America!

Voters are stupid,

Voters are stupid, especially white males. 57% to 34% lead for McCain. Where have they been for the last 8 years? Makes me ashamed to be white. After 20 years of lies and propaganda, we are a dumbass nation. Thats why I'm in Europe.

The people that support

The people that support Palin, like Palin herself, have absolutely no clue as to what the federal govt does.

Well, duh!

Well, duh!

It always amuses me, as an

It always amuses me, as an Australian, how the US presidential affair is more a personality contest than one based on issues and policies. American politics seems to have degenerated into a popularity contest. Maybe this is why Hollywood actors view it as another option in their career moves.

We'd all do well to keep in

We'd all do well to keep in mind that the cabal that controls this country has been in power for more than 100 years. They've spent much energy dumbing down children and adolescents in our schools and using the media to create vast ignorance and division among us. Therefore, I am not astonished in the least about the strange phenomenon of overwhelming support for McCain among white Americans. It's called in jest "shooting yourself in the foot." Wars, the plundering of resources, and indiscriminate "shock and awe" killing cannot go on forever. We must learn to engage in productive dialogue and diplomacy to share the earth's resources so that for once we can leave a peaceful world to our children.

40Years of dumbing down the

40Years of dumbing down the Voters has its rewards. Republicans promise great deeds and sell their snake oil to these folks who are "bionically" altered to Vote against their own interest. It is amazing when I come upon poor, welfare types who vote religiously for the Republican candidate. Guess we will have to wait until they die off, or involve a lot more brighter young people in the task of securing our future in a Democracy. When the head of organizations like the AARP and other such target groups is a Republican what can we expect? Are these polls accurate? I am no Pollster, but with the advent of Cell phones how can the sampling be "random"?

I think Michael Moore should

I think Michael Moore should produce a film called "The dumbing down of America" , it would make for a truly epic tragic-comic expose of the corporate ruling elite and the psychological warfare that they have prosecuted on the citizens of the US for a along time now. Or if the republicans win this election and we have to suffer McCain and Palin for four more horrible and destructive years Moore could call the movie " When America Hit the Bottom of the Pit of Stupidity" It will be about history though, because the America we have known will be a thing of the past.

How can forget the men and

How can forget the men and women who have given their lives in a war we did not have to fight. ?We fought in Afghanastan, left, and now we are deploying more troops there. What about Guantanamo, the prison scandals in Iraq? What about the HUGE deficit? What about Katrina? What about Enron? What about the ECONOMY? Foreclosures? Fanny Mae and Freddy Mac? What about the Consititution of the United States of America? What about our civil rights? What about our reputation around the world? What have I forgotten? Do the voters of America want to keep the Republicans in the Presidency after all that has happened in the past 8 years? Can a former mayor of a city of 7,000 and Governor of a large (land mass) state but a small population who hadn't "really thought about Iraq until my (read her) son volunteered" really become a viable president if something were to happen to McCain. These questions of mine and thinking voters come as a result of the Republican Administration.

According to some Alaskans,

According to some Alaskans, Palin wasn't even qualified to be mayor of her one horse? moose? town. Unfortunately, the US has a population that doesn't read or reads books of little consequence. History for example is considered boring. And in fact students can't relate to subjects that don't translate into big pay days in jobs few will ever have. Because of this they are so information deprived that they can't make complex decisions and when confronted with such choices they often become intimidated, confused and finally resentful, blaming so called elites for complicating issues that they would prefer to not have to deal with. Face the facts, in the next to best of all possible worlds some sort of civics examination would be a requirement for voting. But who could be trusted to administer such a test? Miles Davis once said its sometimes more difficult to get musicians to play fewer notes than more notes. Perhaps this is the problem with the Democrats.They want to play jazz to a head banger crowd.

According to this poll, it

According to this poll, it would appear that something approaching half of the American voting public must have sleepwalked through most of the past eight years. If for no other reason, the Republican party deserves a thorough drubbing in this election simply because they have demonstrated themselves so thoroughly unfit and unworthy to rule. I believe it was Albert Einstein who once said that the true proof of stupidity is when people keep doing the wrong thing over and over again even after it has been conclusively demonstrated that their actions are unsound. As the saying goes, "If the shoe fits..."

For a truer picture of

For a truer picture of opinions in Alaska, I suggest Googling the Anchorage Daily News and checking in on it. It has a lot of up-t0-date information we don't really get down here in the lower 48. My take so far is that a good many voters up there love the earmark and big-oil money she's brought them, but many don't care for her much otherwise. The rednecks, of course, love all the gun-totin' stuff, the caribou and wolf slaughtering. Environmentalists give her a thumbs-down. And with all the name recognition and such, I imagine McCain will carry her home state o.k. in November. Nobody even mentions Senator Stevens much at all. I fully expected a McCain bounce in the polls after Palin appeared at the GOP convention . . . and figured he'd get another little boost just from 9/11's anniversary. He continues to lie low, in both senses of that expression, while Palin takes the heat (she can actually speak off the cuff somewhat after being coached) and also corrals a few strays among the more unthinking female voters. One might reasonably expect Obama to begin inching upward in the polls again in weeks ahead, if the press will just get off the distractions strewn in its path and stick to the major issues facing the country (and the rest of the world). Hopefully, inane TV news sound bites won't determine the outcome of the election.

I'm an older voter - 78 by

I'm an older voter - 78 by the time I vote. I voted for Hilary Clinton in the primary. And I'm going to vote for Obama in the election as is anyone who is a friend of mine or who has a brain. While the turmoil in the market is unpleasant & upsetting for me its good for Obama - because plenty of people still remember the depression & other problems with the economy & always pick democrats when the economy is in trouble. The perception is that republicans are not for middle class or poor people still holds. So stick to that. And see to it that all registered people vote - especially younger people since he has such a lrge majority there. And make sure that the polls especially in Florida don't turn people away for no reason or simply because they are black or hispanice. We don't want this election stolen as was the one in 2000. Obama has to win - don't discount older voters & no Hilary Clinto woman is going to vote McCain & Palin - none we're all pro-choice. Mona Rosner

Bravo and well said Mona R.!

Bravo and well said Mona R.! We all need to do what we can, be a poll worker, give rides to those without, help our friends register, do anything we can to "get out the vote!" for Obama. For everyone who supports Cynthia McKinney, or another alternative candidate, they are good and honorable people and hopefully their day will come soon, but today is not that day. One less vote for Obama is one more vote for McSame, and I beg you, for the sake of my children, and all of our children and grandchildren, to consider their futures when you cast your ballot.

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