News
McCain's Choice of Palin Is a Risk
Saturday 30 August 2008
by: Peter Wallsten, The Los Angeles Times

McCain picks Palin for VP. (Photo: Mark Lyons / EPA)
She could attract conservative Christians but not necessarily the women who backed Hillary Clinton. And some voters may question McCain's decision-making style.
Denver - American voters on Friday began learning about Sarah Palin. But the selection of an obscure Alaska governor as the Republican vice presidential nominee also offers clues about the leadership style of the man who placed her on the ticket.
Though John McCain clearly concluded that Palin could attract female voters and grab his campaign some Barack Obama-style media buzz, he also is taking a risk that in elevating a largely unknown figure, he undermines the central theme of his candidacy that he puts "country first," above political calculations.
For a candidate known to possess a quick temper and an unpredictable political streak, the decision raises questions about how McCain would lead -- whether his decisions would flow from careful deliberations or gut checks in which short-term considerations or feelings outweigh the long view.
"Americans like risk-takers, but they also want to know that in times of crisis, you're going to be calm," said Matthew Dowd, who was a senior campaign strategist for President Bush but is neutral in the McCain-Obama race.
"Americans don't necessarily want somebody in a time of crisis to be overly emotional," Dowd said. "That's the balance that John McCain's going to have to show the public."
The Palin risk also has the potential to reap big rewards.
Her presence on the ticket as a strongly antiabortion mother of five -- her infant son has Down syndrome -- promises to energize evangelical voters who have been skeptical of McCain.
Already, some top conservative Christian leaders who criticized McCain in the past have proclaimed enthusiasm for the pick.
Moreover, as a hunter, a member of the National Rifle Assn. and an avid snowmobiler, Palin appeals to many facets of the GOP base.
McCain's choice of Palin strikes a contrast with Obama's running-mate selection of Joe Biden, a longtime U.S. senator whose foreign policy credentials and working-class roots seemed to fill important gaps in Obama's resume and political style.
That is not to say that voters always want the deliberative approach. McCain's popularity stems partly from his independent style, whereas Obama has been accused of being too professorial and failing to connect with middle-class voters on a personal level.
Still, for McCain, who turned 72 on Friday and has had bouts with the most serious form of skin cancer, the priority in his running-mate selection was picking someone voters could envision becoming commander in chief should something befall him as president.
Or so it had seemed.
As of midweek, according to GOP sources, Republicans believed that the Arizona senator had narrowed his choices to more-seasoned contenders: Sen. Joe Lieberman, an independent from Connecticut, and Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty.
Pawlenty, popular with conservatives, was viewed as the safe bet; Lieberman, the 2000 Democratic vice presidential nominee, would have angered the party base but was generally considered qualified.
How McCain settled on Palin, whom he first met six months ago, remains a mystery outside his small inner circle of advisors.
She doesn't seem an ideal fit for a campaign that has focused intensely on foreign policy expertise and has attacked Obama for his relative lack of experience in that area.
At 44, she is three years younger than Obama and 21 years younger than Biden. She was elected governor in 2006 and formerly was mayor of Wasilla, Alaska, population 7,000 or so.
McCain apparently made his decision after a telephone conversation with Palin last weekend and a face-to-face meeting Thursday at his home in Sedona, Ariz.
"On its face, it looks like a gut decision," said a Republican strategist who requested anonymity when discussing McCain's judgment. "But it also speaks to a very hyper-political decision. Obviously, he doesn't have any history with Sarah Palin. He doesn't know her. It seems to be a calculated push toward gaining women voters."
Another Republican with close ties to the McCain campaign said Friday that the pick reflected McCain's penchant for going with his gut -- even if such gambles can lead him to the wrong choice. The Republican felt uncomfortable repeating talking points distributed by the McCain campaign, which argued that Palin's role as commander of the Alaska National Guard and her Army son's imminent deployment to Iraq makes her "ready to be president" and helps her "understand what it takes to lead our nation."
"This is a guy who takes big gambles," said the Republican, who requested anonymity when talking about McCain. "But we're talking about somebody who is 72 running for president, and I don't know if you gamble with those decisions, do you? It's not like he was 20 points behind."
The surprise pick underscored a go-it-alone style that often has alienated McCain's Senate colleagues -- and left them scratching their heads.
Many Republicans struggled Friday to praise McCain's choice, simply because they knew little about Palin. In one awkward exchange on CNN, Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas, who had been mentioned as a dark-horse candidate, said she didn't know the Alaska governor.
Hutchison was one of several Republican women who had been mentioned as possible running mates for McCain, including former business executives Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina.
Democrats on Friday said McCain had passed over more qualified contenders, such as Sen. Olympia J. Snowe of Maine.
Polls show that McCain could improve his standing among women.
Though he is winning 47% of the white female vote, there is room for him to exploit the disaffection of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton backers who have not warmed to Obama. And Palin could win McCain more support from working-class women.
But it is not clear that Palin would pull in voters who had been drawn to Clinton's advocacy for women's rights -- including abortion rights -- and her decades of experience.
Palin began her courtship of that constituency Friday, invoking the legacy of Geraldine Ferraro, who, as the Democratic vice presidential nominee in 1984, became the first woman to run on a national major-party ticket. Palin also pledged to finish Clinton's work and "shatter that glass ceiling once and for all."
If she succeeds in drawing more female voters and gains acceptance as a potential commander in chief, Palin's selection will have paid off. But if her image wilts under the most intense scrutiny of her life, McCain's gut could prove to be his downfall.


Comments
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A note to all by Anne
Fri, 09/05/2008 - 23:33 — Anonymous (not verified)If McCain wins this
Fri, 09/05/2008 - 06:57 — Anonymous (not verified)McCain has never vetted
Thu, 09/04/2008 - 08:06 — Anonymous (not verified)IS THIS THE ULTIMATE "IN
Wed, 09/03/2008 - 22:33 — Anonymous (not verified)As my mother used to say of
Wed, 09/03/2008 - 13:18 — Anonymous (not verified)If McCain won, this country
Tue, 09/02/2008 - 22:26 — Jeevee (not verified)We're writing about the
Tue, 09/02/2008 - 20:27 — CA NOW (not verified)I thought Paris Hilton would
Tue, 09/02/2008 - 18:11 — radline9 (not verified)McCain's choice of Palin was
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 22:21 — Mike Farrace (not verified)She was trying to say she
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 21:16 — radline9 again (not verified)As governor of the largest
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 21:12 — Anonymous (not verified)Does Sarah Palin have
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 20:12 — Dr. J. (not verified)It's absolutely absurd to
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 16:23 — Anonymous (not verified)If Mrs. Palin is such a
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 06:03 — Dadadaddyo (not verified)Palintology John McCain is
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 05:08 — Tam O'Tellico (not verified)Palintology
John McCain is thought by many to be something of a dinosaur, both for his age and his politics. But the old fossil surprised everyone – including himself – by choosing Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate. Veteran political observers were stunned, not only because McCain chose a woman, but because she is all but unknown. If a recent poll showed 23% or respondents have never heard of Joe Biden, surely 100% per cent have never heard of Palin.
I won’t bother with an in-depth examination of her resume; you can look it up for yourself; it’s a very short read. Suffice it to say she is no Hillary Clinton. Her only meaningful political experience is as governor of Alaska for less than two years. She has no national or international political experience – though Steve Doocy, commentator on Fox “News” begs to disagree:
“But the other thing about her, she does know about international relations because she is right up there in Alaska right next door to Russia.”
Well, that assessment proves Doocy is fairly unbalanced.
Other apologists called McCain’s decision an act of courage, an attempt to force a mostly misogynistic Republican Party into the 21st Century. But the decision seems much more an act born of desperation rather than courage.
An act of courage would have been to select someone like Joe Lieberman, he who voted as a Democrat before he voted as an Independent before he voted as a Republican. But it is hard to imagine hard-line Republicans putting someone in line to be the next President who is a Jew and a Democrat (sort of).
An act of courage would have been to select Condoleeza Rice, a woman who is qualified for the job. But that would have sent much of the Rabid Right scurrying for their Klan robes.
Surely, McCain’s preferred running mate was former Pennsylvania Governor Tom Ridge, a longtime friend and political ally. The other logical option was Mitt Romney, even though he and McCain are reputed to be far from friends. But both of these men are an anathema to the Religious Right, Ridge for his pro-choice views, and Romney for his Mormon faith. McCain concluded it wouldn’t do to further alienate the Religious Right, which is the base of the 21st Century Republican Party. With Palin, a pro-life, pro-gun evangelical, McCain hoped to energize the base – which is far from fond of him.
It remains to be seen if his choice will appease the base. The Religious Right tends to hold to an even more archaic view about the sexes than the Republican Party. I can tell you that even in my relatively enlightened Presbyterian church here in the buckle of the Bible-Belt the congregation will not abide a woman as a minister. How then, pray tell, will evangelicals vote for one as Vice-President?
All this further begs the question why McCain made such a risky decision?
For starters, Palin is a forty-something, former beauty queen who will add a little sex appeal. Certainly, McCain considered that an asset when George H.W. Bush chose Dan Quayle as his running mate. McCain was quoted as saying, “I can’t believe a guy that handsome wouldn’t have some impact.”
The selection of Palin was also a blatant pitch to disaffected female Hillary Clinton supporters. But that may very well backfire with feminist Democrats for several reasons, not the least of which is Palin’s hard-line views on abortion – she is reportedly opposed to it for any reason, including rape and incest.
Another reason this choice may backfire with this group is that by choosing someone so obviously unqualified and inexperienced, McCain is endangering the future of all women in Presidential politics. If Palin bombs badly, she not only embarrasses herself, but she provides fodder for political dinosaurs – McCain included – who will blame “the woman” for his defeat, rather than blame the man who chose so rashly and so poorly.
Rashly and poorly – how else can you describe making such a monumental decision based on two very brief telephone conversations with Palin? What was the hurry? McCain was clearly desperate to steal the headlines from the Democrats after their highly successful convention.
To put the kindest face on it, by making such a risky choice of, McCain may have been trying to reinforce his reputation – or merely following his instincts – as a maverick. If so, his choice does not speak well about his decision-making. The fact that he would choose to put someone so utterly unprepared and so obviously unqualified a heartbeat away from the Presidency ought to frighten anyone away from voting for John McCain.
©2008 Tom Cordle
from 08/30 [quote] Alaska is
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 04:05 — Anonymous (not verified)Correction to Posting on
Mon, 09/01/2008 - 03:35 — Gringodog (not verified)To the uninformed person who
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 23:26 — Anonymous (not verified)McCain’s "choice" of Palen
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 16:19 — McCain_is_nuts (not verified)RECKLESS, IRRESPONSIBLE It
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 15:12 — radline9 (not verified)Fill in the
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 14:01 — Anonymous (not verified)Outrageous to choose a woman
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 12:03 — Laguna Beach (not verified)If Palin draws the Hillary
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 05:49 — Anonymous (not verified)I am thoroughly insulted by
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 04:31 — Anonymous (not verified)McCain's VP pick will
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 02:56 — monotypemaker (not verified)I just don't get it. Palin
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 01:48 — Lourdes (not verified)Wonder how Cindy Moneybags
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 01:42 — Havnagudtim (not verified)McCain may need her as a
Sun, 08/31/2008 - 01:15 — Tom (not verified)Insane McCain and Plain Jane
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 22:57 — Anonymous (not verified)Old guys refrain: I'm not
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 22:39 — Anonymous (not verified)Don't be misled by "she took
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 21:36 — Anonymous (not verified)In response to the poster
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 19:44 — Anonymous (not verified)With the choice of
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 19:41 — Anonymous (not verified)McBrain chose her for the
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 19:40 — Peter Piper (not verified)McCain's objective is to get
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 19:30 — Lou R (not verified)I am terrified about McCain.
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 19:30 — Anonymous (not verified)Obama vs OldBomber. The
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 18:45 — Obama and Biden vs OldBomber and the Babe (not verified)Alaska is our biggest state.
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 18:41 — Anonymous (not verified)Is anybody else as terrified
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 18:36 — Incredulous (not verified)Creepy, creepy, creepy.
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 18:28 — Anonymous (not verified)A few other points that need
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 18:24 — Anonymous (not verified)As a liberal Alaskan, my
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 17:53 — Anonymous (not verified)She's no Hillary
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 17:19 — eldnips (not verified)From trophy wife when he was
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 17:16 — ENS New York (not verified)Controlled by
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 17:13 — Clyde Barrow (not verified)Desperate move.
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 17:09 — Armen Donelian (not verified)This choice proves that
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 16:54 — Anonymous (not verified)In Obama-Biden we have 2
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 16:43 — Anonymous (not verified)Why not a Britney Spear in
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 16:41 — Fulvia (not verified)A population with Brains
Sat, 08/30/2008 - 16:41 — Anonymous (not verified)