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Tar Sands - the New Toxic Investment

by: Terry Macalister  |  Visit article original @ The Guardian UK

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A new report warns against oil industry's equivalent of the sub-prime mortgage crisis. (Photo: The Naib)

    Report warns against oil industry's equivalent of the sub-prime mortgage crisis.

    Shell and BP have been warned by investors that their involvement in unconventional energy production such as Canada's oil sands could turn out to be the industry's equivalent of the sub-prime lending that poisoned the banking sector and triggered the current financial crisis.

    The criticism came as a report was released yesterday warning of the potential financial risks of tar sands, and members of the UK Social Investment Forum met in London to consider a Co-op Investments campaign on halting oil industry involvement in the carbon-intensive oil projects.

    The report, BP and Shell, Rising Risks in Tar Sands Investment, co-authored by Greenpeace and fellow campaign group Platform, argues that oil majors are trying to make up a shortfall in conventional reserves by an irresponsible dash to extract oil from bitumen and other sources.

    Mark Hoskin, senior partner at the ethical investment advisers Holden & Partners, expressed concern about the increasing focus on tar sands at a time when oil companies are being shut out of traditional drilling areas such as Russia and Venezuela.

    "The recent banking crisis has shown how the financial markets can totally misjudge both the risks and values inherent in company balance sheets," he said. "Oil companies depend on oil reserves for their market values. BP and Shell are two of our most trusted UK stocks, but it is a shocking fact that 30% of Shell's oil reserves are in tar sands.

    "This report unveils how dangerous this approach is. There is a good chance that tar sands could be to the oil industry what sub-prime lending was to the banking sector."

    The report lists trends moving against investment in this area, not least the decline in the price of oil at a time when the cost of developing tar sand schemes is rising, something highlighted recently by the boss of French oil group Total.

    The price of crude has plunged on world markets, with Brent blend briefly yesterday below $90 a barrel, down from nearly $150 in July, as traders fear that ructions on Wall Street following the collapse of Lehman Brothers will spread into the mainstream economy and drag down oil demand.

    The report by the environmental campaigners also claims that low-carbon fuel standards under consideration by US presidential candidate Barack Obama and already implemented in California threaten to shut down sections of the American market to products derived from tar sands.

    John Sauven, executive director of Greenpeace, said his organisation had always known that tar sands were a risk to the climate "but now it's becoming clear that they're a risk to the bottom line as well". Platform called on BP and Shell to rethink their entire energy strategy.

    The criticism came as 20 members of the UK Social Investment Forum, a group of ethical investors, attended the Co-op Investments-backed meeting. The Co-op has called for a halt to new licensing of tar sands projects which, it believes, will tip the world into an irreversible process of global warming.

    Paul Monaghan, head of social goals and sustainability at the Co-op, said the group was drawing increasing support and talks were planned with a wider group of investors. He expressed concern that BP and Shell had declined to attend yesterday and hoped they would be at future meetings.

    Greenpeace and Platform say in their report that other risks to tar sands developments come from elections being held in Canada that could affect the regulatory climate, given that the opposition Liberal party is a strong supporter of a carbon tax. The NGOs also point to an "unrealistic" reliance on untested carbon capture and storage technology, which has been highlighted by Shell as a means for reducing CO2 emissions.

    The Canadian tar sands are estimated to contain as much as 180bn barrels of oil but the environmental groups warn that extracting bitumen and upgrading it to synthetic crude oil is three to five times more greenhouse gas intensive than conventional oil extraction.

    Upgrading a single barrel of tar sand bitumen for use in a conventional refinery also requires 14 cubic metres of natural gas, leading to huge demand for gas and supply infrastructure in remote regions of Canada. Enormous amounts of water are also needed in the process.

    Shell argues that growing world demand for energy leaves society with little choice other than to exploit new forms of oil such as tar sands.

    BP, which insists it is still committed to the greener agenda set under former chief executive Lord Browne, said unconventional sources had the advantage of being located in politically stable countries such as Canada and it remained confident of the economics even at an oil price of $90 a barrel.

    The company, now led by Tony Hayward, believes it can reduce its overall carbon footprint by keeping away from surface mining and being careful about the way it brings oil out of the ground. It insists it factored in the future costs of carbon in its tar sands projects. Carbon count

    The campaign against tar sands began in summer after joint research by Co-op Investments and the WWF concluded that unconventional fuels could tip the world into unstoppable climate change. More than $125 billion (£70bn) is to be spent by 2015 on such extraction schemes, which are highly carbon, energy and water intensive.

    Environmental campaigners including Greenpeace director John Sauven, pictured right, say tar sands can be five times as carbon-heavy as normal oil extraction but Shell, BP and others in the field say they can dramatically reduce their impact through careful production methods and by using innovative technology for carbon capture and storage (CCS).

    NGOs dispute these arguments and are particularly sceptical about the CCS argument, given that some experts believe it may still prove too expensive and operationally difficult for large-scale mining

    Shell led the charge into tar sands, which was deemed too costly by BP's former chief executive Lord Browne. New boss Tony Hayward thinks otherwise at a time when his company desperately needs to replenish reserves and resource nationalism is threatening traditional sources. The Co-op claimed after yesterday's meeting that an increasing number of oil firm investors were waking up to the risks of tar sands.

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But has the cost of water &

But has the cost of water & water pollution been factored in? Retrieval & processing of the tar sand (& oil shales) is very water intensive & there is already considerable concern regarding the pollution of heretofore clean & potable lakes & rivers by these processes. Once again, the importance of water, potable water, is being ignored, even though the UN has stressed that water, not oil, is more likely to be the most precious-& fought over--resource of the 21st century. There's no reason to expect oil industry leaders to care, so we will have to force our leaders to care. If that's possible for the corporate captured politicians of the US.

The best way to stop this,

The best way to stop this, is to make in too expensive to extract and that means not using oil. WAlk, ride bike, use bus to go places. Buy locally produced produce and resist being a profligat consumer. Avoid buying products from accross the globe no matter how much cheaper they are decide that you can do without rather that buy. Get simple and get green.

Why would BP not

Why would BP not joint-venture with an up-and-coming solar company rather than investing in a gooey mess with lawsuits from harmed workers/neighbors just busting out to happen as soon as lawyers find the most sympathetic and dramatically ghoulish cases? Does anybody know anybody from BP who can answer a question like this? It is glaringly obvious to lay people, potential jurors, say, that these lawsuits are going to eventually happen, when Ms. Canadian Brockavich materializes. Yet some are trying to push tar-sand exploitation in the U.S. In the U.S. of A! The people pushing this have just got to be kidding. Do they know how many hungry potential plaintiffs' lawyers we have per 100,000 of population compared to Canada? I only have a BA earned in 1972, and I can figure this out. I don't really expect Shell to care, but BP? OK, and solar isn't the only play. What about getting into ground-source heat pumps to greenwash one's oily self? Does anybody from BP know anybody from Google? Why wouldn't BP sign on to one of Google's projects, like solar parking lot roofs with plug-ins so Prius owners (like me, if I were younger) can donate during peak hours and draw down during sags? Jeez, you'd think I was eight with why syndrome. Somehow I forgot to lose my curiosity along the long way from eight to where I actually am, age-wise. I would love it if some important reporter person at Truthout could find a string or two to pull to find answers to these impertinent questions.

CLEAN RENEWABLE EFFICIENT

CLEAN RENEWABLE EFFICIENT COST EFFECTIVE ENERGY TAR SANDS NOT! Produces twice the carbon footprint of drilled oil. And then, consumers will have to pay for the cleanup. Stupid is as stupid duhs.

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