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What Hillary Wants

by: Eugene Robinson  |  The Washington Post

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Commentators continue to try to discern Hillary Clinton's endgame. (Photo by William Thomas Cain/Getty Images North America)

    Commentators trying to discern Hillary Clinton's endgame strategy have posited any number of wheels-within-wheels scenarios worthy of a spy novel. The simple truth has nothing to do with logic and everything to do with instinct: Keep moving forward until you drop.

    It's not that she's making a calculated play for the vice presidency or trying to set herself up for another campaign in 2012 or 2016. To those who know her, it's that she really wants to be president, and that she has come tantalizingly close, and that she's going to keep moving toward that goal even if there's no obvious way to reach it. At this point, her campaign is about getting to tomorrow, and then getting to the next day, and then getting to the day after that.

    Long ago, the Clinton campaign took to heart the Talking Heads' advice to "stop making sense." Back in January, the campaign's position was that amassing delegates was the only true measure of who was winning the nomination. But when Barack Obama surged ahead in the tally of pledged delegates, winning 11 primaries and caucuses in a row, the Clinton brain trust started making a case for "the popular vote" as the most reliable indicator of the party's wishes.

    Does an aggregate count of votes mean anything when some states held closed primaries in which only registered Democrats could participate, some states held open primaries where independents and/or Republicans could also vote, and some states held caucuses that basically involved a show of hands in gymnasiums and community centers?

    It means nothing. But the Clinton campaign has found a way to claim that if for some reason you did this ridiculous exercise of lumping together apples, oranges and bowling balls, and finally came up with two numbers, hers would be greater than Obama's. Since Obama now leads substantially in both pledged delegates and superdelegates - and since he has enormous leads in fundraising and the number of states won - the spurious "popular vote" metric is all that Clinton has. So she's playing the hand she was dealt.

    Even this tenuous advantage, however, requires counting all the votes cast for Clinton in Michigan, where Obama wasn't on the ballot, and in Florida, where neither candidate campaigned. A few months ago, Clinton had no problem with the fact that votes in those two states - which defied Democratic Party officials by moving their primaries up in the calendar - wouldn't count. Rules, after all, were rules.

    Now, maybe rules aren't rules after all. Keep moving forward until you drop. In a speech Wednesday, Clinton evoked the Declaration of Independence, the abolitionist movement, the civil rights struggle and the campaign for women's suffrage as she demanded that the votes from two unrecognized primaries be counted.

    "Over the top" is an inadequate characterization of the speech Clinton gave in Boca Raton, Fla. She spoke of "a shared civic faith . . . equal justice under the law . . . extending the frontiers of our democracy," and even the men and women who "knelt down on that bridge in Selma to pray and were beaten within an inch of their lives."

    "Now, I've heard some say that counting Florida and Michigan would be changing the rules," Clinton said.

    Yes, it would be.

    "I say that not counting Florida and Michigan," Clinton went on, "is changing a central governing rule of this country - that whenever we can understand the clear intent of the voters, their votes should be counted."

    Any Democratic politician who goes to Florida and rails about the "clear intent" of voters is making a not-so-subtle reference to the post-election mess in 2000, when the nation learned more than it ever wanted to know about hanging chads.

    It won't work, though.

    Clinton knows that even the disputed delegates she "won" in Florida and Michigan won't get her to the magic number she needs to win the nomination. Some commentators have speculated that she wants to have the votes counted simply so that she can semi-plausibly claim to have had more popular support than Obama, a distinction that would serve her well if she ran again in four or eight years. I say dream on; the Clintons don't do moral victories.

    Hillary Clinton is after the White House, and if that means using the Florida and Michigan "issue" to tie the party in knots until the convention, so be it.

    If that's not what party leaders want, they'd better do something. Because Clinton is going to keep moving forward.

  

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Comments

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I believe Clinton is being

I believe Clinton is being "egged on" to run by Rupurt Murdoch and other powerful Republicans behind the scenes, to manipulate her into killing off her own party's chances of winning the Presidential election. Also, I believe that inwardly she does indeed choose McCain over Obama. She's had a wild drinking friendship with the notoriously hot-headed drunk, John McCain, for many years and that friendship came out in full relief when she praised him over Obama. Her real feelings emerged. I also feel, lastly, that the Republicans are constantly meeting behind closed doors assuring her of their ability to "count votes" in favor of whoever ends up winning. In other words, if we see some great upset over Obama in the upcoming primaries.... Above all, this is not just an instinctual lunge by a desperate woman. She is more calculating than she ever will be desperate. Desperation implies some sort of vulnerability, some sort of human being within and we know from that plastic smile that whatever goes on functioning in that persona is totally immune from feeling, conscience or compassion.

Indeed, Clinton is not a

Indeed, Clinton is not a mere automaton heading toward a goal, however unattainable. Mr. Robinson is apparently naive. Her ambitions to be President are longstanding and well known for well over a decade. Obama has totally upset this plan, and it would be naive to think she isn't furious. She expected to have the nomination by February. Her demeanor and statements in the campaign (eg, vis a vis the Rev. Wright smear campaign) reflect this reckless anger, and suggest she has no problem with attempting to destroy Obama's chances as the nominee, thus allowing her to run in 2012 on an "I told you so" platform. Her statement today suggesting that you never know - assassinations can happen- reflects a bizarre willingness to bring up the possibility that someone could kill Obama. Yet she dishonestly dismissed that statement today by claiming the Kennedys were on her mind because of Ted's illness, although she had made the same statement in March to an editor of Time magazine (discussed tonight on PBS Washington Week), just as she dishonestly pretended that her statement about landing in Bosnia under fire was due to a memory lapse. When did she ever land under sniper fire? I think Hillary is not only ambitious, but dangerously more concerned with her own personal goals than what happens in the next four year - which will be critical years for the world. She has not merely sought to differentiate herself from Obama, she has spent months in shameless attacks on his qualifications and shown an amazing ability to try to get away with lying. It amazes me that so many women are stating that they support her because of her gender. One should never support a candidate because of race, gender, or any other superficial quality. Obviously, most of her policy views are not that much different from Obama, but I find the quality of her character as exemplified by her campaign tactics very questionable.

Yes, I think you're

Yes, I think you're absolutely correct. Clinton wants this to go to the convention--and even beyond, if necessary. And, yes, the party hierarchy is going to have to step in and make a decision, even including kicking her out of the party. We're not dealing with a sane person here, but with someone on the verge of insanity, if not actually there.

Hillary is a very danger

Hillary is a very danger person, is scary to have her as president.selecting

I cannot shake the feeling

I cannot shake the feeling that Hillary is a closet Republican. And now I'm beginning to think she's being advised to 'hang-in there' while very questionable interests behind the scenes continue to work out ways to 'get' Obama. The Florida recount tactic alone makes you wonder if there isn't someone saying "we got away with it once, why not again?"

Hillary must get to

Hillary must get to convention. She is so confident because she knows the fix is in. The mechanism of the super delegates was created to insure that the will of the people could be overturned in case the voters d0n't pick the right (ie. the far-right) candidate. Even the republicans are crossing over to vote for & support her. They know that a republican, esp Mad-Man McCain cannot win this election. The name of the U.S. fascist party, our 3rd party, is "I & the bi-partisan leaders". The dems & reps are 2 horses in the same harness, pulling the same cart to the same destination. Hillary will be our next president. The fix is in.

Hillary Clinton doesn't need

Hillary Clinton doesn't need a closet Republican to be running a Rovian style campaign. After all, Democrats have spent eight years bemoaning the fact that candidates and party leaders play "nice" while the Republicans play to win. She set out to run the style of campaign she thought the party was calling for and that put someone like George Bush into the White House. What she didn't realize was that the game has changed, in large part because there is a progressive "information machine" that get alternative voices and views out via the internet, cable and even talk radio. Obama's campaign has built on Howard Dean's idea to use the internet to build a fundraising machine. And that campaign has shown that it is possible to do "rapid response" without resorting to Swift Boat tactics against the opposition. And it just may be that after eight years of the Bush administration, the "create your own reality" paradigm has lost its power. Clinton's endlessly reframed metrics, including the "popular vote" argument and the "you never know what will happen" argument are textbook examples of attempts to spin facts to create a reality. It isn't working. It's a good thing for the country, and the Clintons, that her campaign isn't working.

has HRC ever given a

has HRC ever given a *straight* answer to the question how she would reconcile her earlier pledge to honor exclusion of MI and FL from the primaries with her insistence, today, that these contests should be considered valid?

Hillary constantly likes to

Hillary constantly likes to take cheap shots. She has no moral ethics on what is sacred. She is no innocent sweetheart, instead she is a ruthless woman destined to make her mark at any cost. The world needs more enlightened beings to turn the page on our unremarkable past.