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    Clinton or Obama? Mississippi's Time to Decide
    By Natalie Chandler and Leah Rupp
    The Clarion-Ledger

    Tuesday 11 March 2008

Despite election fervor, moderate turnout expected.

    A close race between Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama will draw more voters to the polls today than the last presidential primary, state officials predict.

    But voter turnout is still expected to be light to moderate in an election that also includes two open congressional seats and a U.S. Senate contest.

    Between 125,000 to 150,000 voters will cast ballots, Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann predicted. He said 100,000 headed to the polls in the 2004 presidential primary that featured eight contenders for the Democratic nomination, including ultimate nominee Sen. John Kerry. Mississippi has 1.78 million registered voters.

    Polls are open statewide today from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.

    The two U.S. senators, Obama from Illinois and Clinton from New York, are locked in a tight race. Both have visited the state in recent days.

    Sen. John McCain of Arizona clinched the GOP nomination last week.

    Mississippi does not require voters to declare party affiliation when they register to vote. Therefore, residents who usually vote Republican can cast a ballot today for Obama or Clinton. But those voters would have to forgo voting in the Republican congressional primaries.

    Marty Wiseman, director of the Stennis Institute of Government at Mississippi State University, said he doesn't expect much crossover voting. It would take an organized effort by Republicans and a lot of money, he said.

    "I just don't see Republicans getting that stirred up about this," he said. "It's almost impossible, with an even tie, to see who would be most advantageous to the Republicans."

    A few people approached state GOP Chairman Jim Herring at church, asking whether they should vote in the Democratic primary to skew the ballots toward one candidate or another.

    "We shouldn't be fooling in (the Democrats') business ... because we've got enough to deal with," said Herring, adding that crossover voting also would hinder a two-party system that political leaders have tried to foster.

    A federal judge ruled last year that Mississippians re-register to vote by party affiliation. Or, he said voters could register as unaffiliated with any party. His decision came after Mississippi Democrats filed a lawsuit seeking to bar Republicans from voting in Democratic primaries. The 5th U.S. Circuit of Appeals is reviewing the decision.

    Mississippi Democratic Party Chairman Wayne Dowdy said he's not worried about Republicans voting in the Democratic primary. "We encourage everyone to participate in the Democratic primary," he said. Asked whether that conflicts with the Democrats' attempts to bar Republicans from voting in their primaries, Dowdy said it does not.

    The lawsuit seeks to bar Republicans from voting to elect a "weaker" Democrat, he said. In today's primary, "there's no claim that independents or Republicans are voting for that reason," he said. Obama has attracted Republicans and independent voters in other states, Dowdy said.

    "I hope that occurs (today) in Mississippi," said Dowdy, one of several superdelegates who is uncommitted.

    Political scientists statewide have predicted an Obama win in Mississippi. He and Clinton not only have visited the state over the last few days but also produced radio ads airing statewide and promoted endorsements from high-profile public officials.

    Thousands of volunteers for the candidates are making phone calls and canvassing neighborhoods to secure votes.

    Former Gov. William Winter said he supports Clinton. U.S. Rep. Marion Berry of Arkansas visited the state to support her. Novelist John Grisham introduced Clinton's husband, former President Bill Clinton, at a campaign stop in Meridian last week.

    "The strategy here is the same strategy we use all over this country and that is that we are trying to get every vote we can. We're trying to get people to understand this is the biggest race to ever hit this state, (or the) United States and it's so important that people come out and vote for Hillary Clinton," said state Rep. George Flaggs, D-Vicksburg, who is co-chairing Clinton's Mississippi campaign.

    Clinton's daughter, Chelsea, campaigned at several locations across Mississippi on Sunday and Monday. On Monday, she spoke at the University of Mississippi and Tougaloo College.

    Obama campaigned in Jackson and Columbus on Monday. His supporters also sponsored a gospel concert in Biloxi featuring singer Smokie Norful.

    The Obama camp has opened seven offices statewide in the past several weeks, campaign spokesman Kevin Griffis said.

    Over the weekend, supporters held events headlined by hip-hop entrepreneur Russell Simmons, former Gov. Ray Mabus and 2nd District U.S. Rep. Bennie Thompson in the Delta. Democratic Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius stumped for Obama on the Gulf Coast.

    "The idea ... is a community organizing philosophy where you go and meet people where they are and get to know them," Griffis said. "You figure out a way to engage them in the campaign in a way that incorporates their existing interests."

    Also today, voters will choose:

  • U.S. House, 3rd District. For the Democratic nomination, Randall Eads of Starkville will meet Joel Gill of Pickens. On the Republican side, voters will choose between Gregg Harper of Pearl, Charlie Ross of Brandon, David Landrum of Madison County, John Rounsaville of Madison, Bill Marcy of Meridian, Gregory Hatcher of Meridian and the Rev. James Broadwater of Flowood.

  • U.S. House, 2nd District. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Bennie Thompson is challenged by Dorothy Benford. The winner faces Republican challenger Richard Cook in November.

  • U.S. House, 1st Congressional District. On the GOP side, Southaven Mayor Greg Davis, former Tupelo Mayor Glenn McCullough Jr. and Randy Russell of Oxford are running. Democratic contenders include Prentiss County Chancery Clerk Travis Childers, Marshall Coleman of Calhoun City, Ken Hurt of Verona, Brian Neely of Tupelo and state Rep. Steve Holland of Plantersville.

    A second primary, if necessary, will be held April 1.

  • U.S. Senate. Democratic voters will choose between Erik Fleming and Shawn O'Hara for a chance to challenge Republican U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran in November for his bid at a sixth term.

    Cochran, 70, has been in the Senate since 1979 and is unopposed in the GOP primary.

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